Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Milan win, with a probability of 60.36%. A win for Juventus has a probability of 17.92%, and a draw has a probability of 21.69%. The most likely scoreline for a Milan win is “Any Other Home Win,” with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 with a probability of 10.89% and 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The most probable Juventus win is 0-1 with a probability of 5.33%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.29%.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| AC Milan | Juventus | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.93 | 0.95 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 60.36% | 21.69% | 17.92% |
| Imp Odds | 1.66 | 4.61 | 5.58 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 5.64% | 17.72 |
| 1.5 | 21.86% | 4.57 |
| 2.5 | 45.18% | 2.21 |
| 3.5 | 67.53% | 1.48 |
| 4.5 | 83.58% | 1.20 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 94.36% | 1.06 |
| 1.5 | 78.14% | 1.28 |
| 2.5 | 54.82% | 1.82 |
| 3.5 | 32.47% | 3.08 |
| 4.5 | 16.42% | 6.09 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 17.72 | 5.64% |
| 0-1 | 18.75 | 5.33% |
| 0-2 | 39.67 | 2.52% |
| 0-3 | 125.93 | 0.79% |
| 1-0 | 9.18 | 10.89% |
| 1-1 | 9.72 | 10.29% |
| 1-2 | 20.56 | 4.86% |
| 1-3 | 65.26 | 1.53% |
| 2-0 | 9.52 | 10.51% |
| 2-1 | 10.07 | 9.93% |
| 2-2 | 21.31 | 4.69% |
| 2-3 | 67.64 | 1.48% |
| 3-0 | 14.80 | 6.76% |
| 3-1 | 15.66 | 6.39% |
| 3-2 | 33.13 | 3.02% |
| 3-3 | 105.17 | 0.95% |
| Any Other Home Win | 7.76 | 12.88% |
| Any Other Away Win | 85.41 | 1.17% |
| Any Other Draw | 856.81 | 0.12% |
Additional Information
| Avg. home goal per game scored | 1.549441667 |
| Avg. away goal per game scored | 1.091241667 |
| Avg. home team goal per game scored at home | 2.286666667 |
| Avg. away team goal per game conceded away | 1.3075 |
| Avg. away team goal per game scored away | 1.62 |
| Avg. home team goal per game conceded at home | 0.6366666667 |
By Goals
Match Result Market
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| AC Milan | Juventus | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.55 | 0.53 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 62.50% | 25.02% | 12.48% |
| Imp Odds | 1.60 | 4.00 | 8.01 |
Over and Under Market
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 12.42% | 8.05 |
| 1.5 | 38.32% | 2.61 |
| 2.5 | 65.34% | 1.53 |
| 3.5 | 84.13% | 1.19 |
| 4.5 | 93.92% | 1.06 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 87.58% | 1.14 |
| 1.5 | 61.68% | 1.62 |
| 2.5 | 34.66% | 2.88 |
| 3.5 | 15.87% | 6.30 |
| 4.5 | 6.08% | 16.46 |
Correct Score Market
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 12.42% | 8.05 |
| 0-1 | 6.61% | 15.13 |
| 0-2 | 1.76% | 56.84 |
| 0-3 | 0.31% | 320.36 |
| 1-0 | 19.29% | 5.18 |
| 1-1 | 10.27% | 9.74 |
| 1-2 | 2.73% | 36.58 |
| 1-3 | 0.49% | 206.17 |
| 2-0 | 14.99% | 6.67 |
| 2-1 | 7.98% | 12.53 |
| 2-2 | 2.12% | 47.09 |
| 2-3 | 0.38% | 265.38 |
| 3-0 | 7.76% | 12.88 |
| 3-1 | 4.13% | 24.20 |
| 3-2 | 1.10% | 90.91 |
| 3-3 | 0.20% | 512.36 |
| Any Other Home Win | 7.24% | 13.81 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.16% | 631.75 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.01% | 9,586.54 |
Additional Information
| Avg. home goal per game scored | 1.501666667 |
| Avg. away goal per game scored | 1.095833333 |
| Avg. home team goal per game scored at home | 2.333333333 |
| Avg. away team goal per game conceded away | 1 |
| Avg. away team goal per game scored away | 1.75 |
| Avg. home team goal per game conceded at home | 0.3333333333 |