Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Inter will likely win this match with a probability of 63.68%. A win for Monza has a probability of 7.4%, while a draw has a probability of 28.78%. The most likely scoreline for a Inter win is 0-1, with a probability of 27.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 17.69% and 0-3 with a probability of 7.66%. The most probable Monza win is 1-0 with a probability of 5.51%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 20.99%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By XG
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Monza | Inter | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.26 | 1.30 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 7.40% | 28.78% | 63.68% |
| Imp Odds | 13.52 | 3.47 |
1.57 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 20.99% | 4.76 |
| 1.5 | 53.75% | 1.86 |
| 2.5 | 79.33% | 1.26 |
| 3.5 | 92.64% | 1.08 |
| 4.5 | 97.84% | 1.02 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 79.01% | 1.27 |
| 1.5 | 46.25% | 2.16 |
| 2.5 | 20.67% | 4.84 |
| 3.5 | 7.36% | 13.59 |
| 4.5 | 2.16% | 46.28 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 20.99% | 4.76 |
| 0-1 | 27.25% | 3.67 |
| 0-2 | 17.69% | 5.65 |
| 0-3 | 7.66% | 13.06 |
| 1-0 | 5.51% | 18.13 |
| 1-1 | 7.16% | 13.96 |
| 1-2 | 4.65% | 21.51 |
| 1-3 | 2.01% | 49.69 |
| 2-0 | 0.72% | 138.01 |
| 2-1 | 0.94% | 106.28 |
| 2-2 | 0.61% | 163.70 |
| 2-3 | 0.26% | 378.22 |
| 3-0 | 0.06% | 1,575.55 |
| 3-1 | 0.08% | 1,213.38 |
| 3-2 | 0.05% | 1,868.92 |
| 3-3 | 0.02% | 4,317.95 |
| Any Other Home Win | 0.02% | 6,472.04 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.99% | 100.84 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.00% | 199,724.45 |
By XG
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Monza | Inter | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.76 | 2.10 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 12.31% | 19.21% | 67.79% |
| Imp Odds | 8.12 | 5.20 | 1.48 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 5.74% | 17.43 |
| 1.5 | 22.13% | 4.52 |
| 2.5 | 45.56% | 2.19 |
| 3.5 | 67.89% | 1.47 |
| 4.5 | 83.85% | 1.19 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 94.26% | 1.06 |
| 1.5 | 77.87% | 1.28 |
| 2.5 | 54.44% | 1.84 |
| 3.5 | 32.11% | 3.11 |
| 4.5 | 16.15% | 6.19 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 17.43 | 5.74% |
| 0-1 | 8.30 | 12.05% |
| 0-2 | 7.90 | 12.65% |
| 0-3 | 11.29 | 8.86% |
| 1-0 | 23.00 | 4.35% |
| 1-1 | 10.95 | 9.13% |
| 1-2 | 10.43 | 9.59% |
| 1-3 | 14.89 | 6.72% |
| 2-0 | 60.69 | 1.65% |
| 2-1 | 28.89 | 3.46% |
| 2-2 | 27.51 | 3.63% |
| 2-3 | 39.29 | 2.55% |
| 3-0 | 240.20 | 0.42% |
| 3-1 | 114.35 | 0.87% |
| 3-2 | 108.88 | 0.92% |
| 3-3 | 155.51 | 0.64% |
| Any Other Home Win | 154.87 | 0.65% |
| Any Other Away Win | 11.79 | 8.48% |
| Any Other Draw | 1,465.19 | 0.07% |