Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Napoli is likely to win this match with a probability of 73.42%. A win for Cagliari has a probability of 10.58%, while a draw has a probability of 15.88%. The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 24.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 10.91% and 3-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The most probable Cagliari win is 1-2 with a probability of 3.15%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 7.39%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Napoli | Cagliari | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.51 | 0.85 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 73.42% | 15.88% | 10.58% |
| Imp Odds | 1.36 | 6.30 | 9.45 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.45% | 28.98 |
| 1.5 | 15.07% | 6.64 |
| 2.5 | 34.62% | 2.89 |
| 3.5 | 56.57% | 1.77 |
| 4.5 | 75.04% | 1.33 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.55% | 1.04 |
| 1.5 | 84.93% | 1.18 |
| 2.5 | 65.38% | 1.53 |
| 3.5 | 43.43% | 2.30 |
| 4.5 | 24.96% | 4.01 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 28.98 | 3.45% |
| 0-1 | 34.02 | 2.94% |
| 0-2 | 79.88 | 1.25% |
| 0-3 | 281.35 | 0.36% |
| 1-0 | 11.52 | 8.68% |
| 1-1 | 13.53 | 7.39% |
| 1-2 | 31.77 | 3.15% |
| 1-3 | 111.88 | 0.89% |
| 2-0 | 9.16 | 10.91% |
| 2-1 | 10.76 | 9.29% |
| 2-2 | 25.26 | 3.96% |
| 2-3 | 88.98 | 1.12% |
| 3-0 | 10.93 | 9.15% |
| 3-1 | 12.84 | 7.79% |
| 3-2 | 30.14 | 3.32% |
| 3-3 | 106.15 | 0.94% |
| Any Other Home Win | 4.12 | 24.28% |
| Any Other Away Win | 127.93 | 0.78% |
| Any Other Draw | 726.74 | 0.14% |