Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a draw, with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 27.63%, and a win for Las Palmas has a probability of 21.41%. The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win is 0-1, with a probability of 20.03%. The next most likely scoreline for that outcome is 0-2 with a probability of 4.66%. The most probable Las Palmas win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 43.06%.
This match offers a good opportunity to bet on a draw, with bookmakers offering average odds of 3.2, much higher than the 1.96 calculated by our model.
By Goals
By Goals
Match Result Market
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Las Palmas | Rayo Vallecano | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.38 | 0.47 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 21.41% | 50.96% | 27.63% |
| Imp Odds | 4.67 | 1.96 | 3.62 |
Over and Under Market
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 43.06% | 2.32 |
| 1.5 | 79.34% | 1.26 |
| 2.5 | 94.63% | 1.06 |
| 3.5 | 98.92% | 1.01 |
| 4.5 | 99.82% | 1.00 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 56.94% | 1.76 |
| 1.5 | 20.66% | 4.84 |
| 2.5 | 5.37% | 18.61 |
| 3.5 | 1.08% | 92.55 |
| 4.5 | 0.18% | 566.36 |
Correct Score Market
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 43.06% | 2.32 |
| 0-1 | 20.03% | 4.99 |
| 0-2 | 4.66% | 21.47 |
| 0-3 | 0.72% | 138.47 |
| 1-0 | 16.25% | 6.15 |
| 1-1 | 7.56% | 13.23 |
| 1-2 | 1.76% | 56.89 |
| 1-3 | 0.27% | 366.94 |
| 2-0 | 3.07% | 32.61 |
| 2-1 | 1.43% | 70.12 |
| 2-2 | 0.33% | 301.52 |
| 2-3 | 0.05% | 1,944.78 |
| 3-0 | 0.39% | 259.28 |
| 3-1 | 0.18% | 557.45 |
| 3-2 | 0.04% | 2,397.05 |
| 3-3 | 0.01% | 15,461.00 |
| Any Other Home Win | 0.06% | 1,599.58 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.04% | 2,364.20 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.00% | 1,399,551.18 |