Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is an Atletico Madrid win, with a probability of 48.54%. A win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 25.13%, and a draw has a probability of 26.21%. The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 0-1, with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scoreline for that outcome is 0-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The most probable Celta Vigo win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.37%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.39%.
By XG
By XG
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Celta Vigo | Atletico Madrid | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.98 | 1.48 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 25.13% | 26.21% | 48.54% |
| Imp Odds | 3.98 | 3.82 | 2.06 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 8.50% | 11.77 |
| 1.5 | 29.45% | 3.40 |
| 2.5 | 55.27% | 1.81 |
| 3.5 | 76.49% | 1.31 |
| 4.5 | 89.57% | 1.12 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 91.50% | 1.09 |
| 1.5 | 70.55% | 1.42 |
| 2.5 | 44.73% | 2.24 |
| 3.5 | 23.51% | 4.25 |
| 4.5 | 10.43% | 9.59 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 11.77 | 8.50% |
| 0-1 | 7.95 | 12.58% |
| 0-2 | 10.74 | 9.32% |
| 0-3 | 21.75 | 4.60% |
| 1-0 | 11.95 | 8.37% |
| 1-1 | 8.07 | 12.39% |
| 1-2 | 10.90 | 9.17% |
| 1-3 | 22.09 | 4.53% |
| 2-0 | 24.27 | 4.12% |
| 2-1 | 16.39 | 6.10% |
| 2-2 | 22.14 | 4.52% |
| 2-3 | 44.86 | 2.23% |
| 3-0 | 73.95 | 1.35% |
| 3-1 | 49.94 | 2.00% |
| 3-2 | 67.46 | 1.48% |
| 3-3 | 136.67 | 0.73% |
| Any Other Home Win | 58.53 | 1.71% |
| Any Other Away Win | 25.82 | 3.87% |
| Any Other Draw | 1,413.83 | 0.07% |