Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Genoa is likely to win this match with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Empoli has a probability of 24.25%, while a draw has a probability of 29.22%. The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win is 1-0, with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 9.9% and 2-1 with a probability of 8.1%. The most probable Empoli win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.92%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Genoa | Empoli | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.25 | 0.82 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 46.52% | 29.22% | 24.25% |
| Imp Odds | 2.15 | 3.42 | 4.12 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 12.59% | 7.95 |
| 1.5 | 38.67% | 2.59 |
| 2.5 | 65.70% | 1.52 |
| 3.5 | 84.38% | 1.19 |
| 4.5 | 94.06% | 1.06 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 87.41% | 1.14 |
| 1.5 | 61.33% | 1.63 |
| 2.5 | 34.30% | 2.92 |
| 3.5 | 15.62% | 6.40 |
| 4.5 | 5.94% | 16.82 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 7.95 | 12.59% |
| 0-1 | 9.71 | 10.30% |
| 0-2 | 23.71 | 4.22% |
| 0-3 | 86.91 | 1.15% |
| 1-0 | 6.34 | 15.78% |
| 1-1 | 7.74 | 12.92% |
| 1-2 | 18.91 | 5.29% |
| 1-3 | 69.31 | 1.44% |
| 2-0 | 10.11 | 9.90% |
| 2-1 | 12.34 | 8.10% |
| 2-2 | 30.16 | 3.32% |
| 2-3 | 110.53 | 0.90% |
| 3-0 | 24.18 | 4.14% |
| 3-1 | 29.53 | 3.39% |
| 3-2 | 72.16 | 1.39% |
| 3-3 | 264.44 | 0.38% |
| Any Other Home Win | 26.09 | 3.83% |
| Any Other Away Win | 149.71 | 0.67% |
| Any Other Draw | 3,954.59 | 0.03% |