Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Atalanta is likely to win this match with a probability of 79.84%. A win for Salernitana has a probability of 6.98%, while a draw has a probability of 12.96%. The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 29.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 11.94% and 3-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The most probable Salernitana win is 0-1 with a probability of 2.22%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 6.12%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Atalanta | Salernitana | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.75 | 0.71 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 79.84% | 12.96% | 6.98% |
| Imp Odds | 1.25 | 7.72 | 14.33 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.15% | 31.72 |
| 1.5 | 14.05% | 7.12 |
| 2.5 | 32.89% | 3.04 |
| 3.5 | 54.60% | 1.83 |
| 4.5 | 73.36% | 1.36 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.85% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 85.95% | 1.16 |
| 2.5 | 67.11% | 1.49 |
| 3.5 | 45.40% | 2.20 |
| 4.5 | 26.64% | 3.75 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 31.72 | 3.15% |
| 0-1 | 44.98 | 2.22% |
| 0-2 | 127.59 | 0.78% |
| 0-3 | 542.84 | 0.18% |
| 1-0 | 11.53 | 8.68% |
| 1-1 | 16.35 | 6.12% |
| 1-2 | 46.37 | 2.16% |
| 1-3 | 197.27 | 0.51% |
| 2-0 | 8.38 | 11.94% |
| 2-1 | 11.88 | 8.42% |
| 2-2 | 33.70 | 2.97% |
| 2-3 | 143.38 | 0.70% |
| 3-0 | 9.13 | 10.95% |
| 3-1 | 12.95 | 7.72% |
| 3-2 | 36.74 | 2.72% |
| 3-3 | 156.31 | 0.64% |
| Any Other Home Win | 3.40 | 29.42% |
| Any Other Away Win | 256.35 | 0.39% |
| Any Other Draw | 1,191.33 | 0.08% |
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Atalanta | Salernitana | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.75 | 0.71 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 79.84% | 12.96% | 6.98% |
| Imp Odds | 1.25 | 7.72 | 14.33 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.15% | 31.72 |
| 1.5 | 14.05% | 7.12 |
| 2.5 | 32.89% | 3.04 |
| 3.5 | 54.60% | 1.83 |
| 4.5 | 73.36% | 1.36 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.85% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 85.95% | 1.16 |
| 2.5 | 67.11% | 1.49 |
| 3.5 | 45.40% | 2.20 |
| 4.5 | 26.64% | 3.75 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 31.72 | 3.15% |
| 0-1 | 44.98 | 2.22% |
| 0-2 | 127.59 | 0.78% |
| 0-3 | 542.84 | 0.18% |
| 1-0 | 11.53 | 8.68% |
| 1-1 | 16.35 | 6.12% |
| 1-2 | 46.37 | 2.16% |
| 1-3 | 197.27 | 0.51% |
| 2-0 | 8.38 | 11.94% |
| 2-1 | 11.88 | 8.42% |
| 2-2 | 33.70 | 2.97% |
| 2-3 | 143.38 | 0.70% |
| 3-0 | 9.13 | 10.95% |
| 3-1 | 12.95 | 7.72% |
| 3-2 | 36.74 | 2.72% |
| 3-3 | 156.31 | 0.64% |
| Any Other Home Win | 3.40 | 29.42% |
| Any Other Away Win | 256.35 | 0.39% |
| Any Other Draw | 1,191.33 | 0.08% |