Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Inter is likely to win this match with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Lazio has a probability of 20.21%, while a draw has a probability of 32.48%. The most likely scoreline for a Inter win is 0-1, with a probability of 19.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 10.96% and 1-2 with a probability of 6.65%. The most probable Lazio win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 18.2%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lazio | Inter | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.61 | 1.10 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 20.21% | 32.48% | 47.27% |
| Imp Odds | 4.95 | 3.08 | 2.12 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 18.20% | 5.50 |
| 1.5 | 49.20% | 2.03 |
| 2.5 | 75.62% | 1.32 |
| 3.5 | 90.62% | 1.10 |
| 4.5 | 97.01% | 1.03 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 81.80% | 1.22 |
| 1.5 | 50.80% | 1.97 |
| 2.5 | 24.38% | 4.10 |
| 3.5 | 9.38% | 10.66 |
| 4.5 | 2.99% | 33.48 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 5.50 | 18.20% |
| 0-1 | 5.01 | 19.97% |
| 0-2 | 9.12 | 10.96% |
| 0-3 | 24.93 | 4.01% |
| 1-0 | 9.07 | 11.03% |
| 1-1 | 8.26 | 12.11% |
| 1-2 | 15.05 | 6.65% |
| 1-3 | 41.12 | 2.43% |
| 2-0 | 29.91 | 3.34% |
| 2-1 | 27.24 | 3.67% |
| 2-2 | 49.64 | 2.01% |
| 2-3 | 135.65 | 0.74% |
| 3-0 | 147.99 | 0.68% |
| 3-1 | 134.81 | 0.74% |
| 3-2 | 245.63 | 0.41% |
| 3-3 | 671.28 | 0.15% |
| Any Other Home Win | 293.90 | 0.34% |
| Any Other Away Win | 86.56 | 1.16% |
| Any Other Draw | 15,713.16 | 0.01% |
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lazio | Inter | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.23 | 1.14 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 7.43% | 32.54% | 59.95% |
| Imp Odds | 13.46 | 3.07 | 1.67 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 25.44% | 3.93 |
| 1.5 | 60.26% | 1.66 |
| 2.5 | 84.10% | 1.19 |
| 3.5 | 94.97% | 1.05 |
| 4.5 | 98.69% | 1.01 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 74.56% | 1.34 |
| 1.5 | 39.74% | 2.52 |
| 2.5 | 15.90% | 6.29 |
| 3.5 | 5.03% | 19.89 |
| 4.5 | 1.31% | 76.57 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 25.44% | 3.93 |
| 0-1 | 28.98% | 3.45 |
| 0-2 | 16.51% | 6.06 |
| 0-3 | 6.27% | 15.95 |
| 1-0 | 5.84% | 17.12 |
| 1-1 | 6.65% | 15.03 |
| 1-2 | 3.79% | 26.38 |
| 1-3 | 1.44% | 69.47 |
| 2-0 | 0.67% | 149.17 |
| 2-1 | 0.76% | 130.93 |
| 2-2 | 0.44% | 229.84 |
| 2-3 | 0.17% | 605.22 |
| 3-0 | 0.05% | 1,949.25 |
| 3-1 | 0.06% | 1,710.92 |
| 3-2 | 0.03% | 3,003.47 |
| 3-3 | 0.01% | 7,908.74 |
| Any Other Home Win | 0.01% | 10,670.00 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.59% | 169.69 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.00% | 478,752.71 |