Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Liverpool is likely to win this match with a probability of 62.21%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 17.41%, while a draw has a probability of 19.78%. The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is “Any Other Away Win“, with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 9.87% and 0-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The most probable Burnley win is 2-1 with a probability of 4.8%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.07%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Burnley | Liverpool | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.06 | 2.18 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 17.41% | 19.78% | 62.21% |
Imp Odds | 5.74 | 5.06 | 1.61 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 3.94% | 25.38 |
1.5 | 16.68% | 5.99 |
2.5 | 37.28% | 2.68 |
3.5 | 59.49% | 1.68 |
4.5 | 77.45% | 1.29 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 96.06% | 1.04 |
1.5 | 83.32% | 1.20 |
2.5 | 62.72% | 1.59 |
3.5 | 40.51% | 2.47 |
4.5 | 22.55% | 4.44 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 25.38 | 3.94% |
0-1 | 11.66 | 8.57% |
0-2 | 10.72 | 9.33% |
0-3 | 14.78 | 6.77% |
1-0 | 23.99 | 4.17% |
1-1 | 11.02 | 9.07% |
1-2 | 10.13 | 9.87% |
1-3 | 13.97 | 7.16% |
2-0 | 45.35 | 2.21% |
2-1 | 20.84 | 4.80% |
2-2 | 19.15 | 5.22% |
2-3 | 26.41 | 3.79% |
3-0 | 128.59 | 0.78% |
3-1 | 59.09 | 1.69% |
3-2 | 54.31 | 1.84% |
3-3 | 74.88 | 1.34% |
Any Other Home Win | 51.88 | 1.93% |
Any Other Away Win | 8.93 | 11.20% |
Any Other Draw | 473.83 | 0.21% |