Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Manchester City is likely to win this match with a probability of 57.65%. A win for Everton has a probability of 21.73%, while a draw has a probability of 20.11%. The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is “Any Other Away Win“, with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 9.5% and 1-3 with a probability of 7%. The most probable Everton win is 2-1 with a probability of 5.57%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 8.6%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Everton | Manchester City | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.29 | 2.21 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 21.73% | 20.11% | 57.65% |
Imp Odds | 4.60 | 4.97 | 1.73 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 3.01% | 33.24 |
1.5 | 13.55% | 7.38 |
2.5 | 32.02% | 3.12 |
3.5 | 53.58% | 1.87 |
4.5 | 72.48% | 1.38 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 96.99% | 1.03 |
1.5 | 86.45% | 1.16 |
2.5 | 67.98% | 1.47 |
3.5 | 46.42% | 2.15 |
4.5 | 27.52% | 3.63 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 33.24 | 3.01% |
0-1 | 15.04 | 6.65% |
0-2 | 13.62 | 7.34% |
0-3 | 18.49 | 5.41% |
1-0 | 25.68 | 3.89% |
1-1 | 11.62 | 8.60% |
1-2 | 10.52 | 9.50% |
1-3 | 14.29 | 7.00% |
2-0 | 39.68 | 2.52% |
2-1 | 17.96 | 5.57% |
2-2 | 16.26 | 6.15% |
2-3 | 22.08 | 4.53% |
3-0 | 91.98 | 1.09% |
3-1 | 41.63 | 2.40% |
3-2 | 37.69 | 2.65% |
3-3 | 51.17 | 1.95% |
Any Other Home Win | 27.77 | 3.60% |
Any Other Away Win | 7.88 | 12.69% |
Any Other Draw | 254.74 | 0.39% |
By Goals
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Everton | Manchester City | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
0.80 | 1.50 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 19.93% | 26.22% | 53.68% |
Imp Odds | 5.02 | 3.81 | 1.86 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 10.10% | 9.90 |
1.5 | 33.25% | 3.01 |
2.5 | 59.80% | 1.67 |
3.5 | 80.08% | 1.25 |
4.5 | 91.71% | 1.09 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 89.90% | 1.11 |
1.5 | 66.75% | 1.50 |
2.5 | 40.20% | 2.49 |
3.5 | 19.92% | 5.02 |
4.5 | 8.29% | 12.06 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 10.10% | 9.90 |
0-1 | 15.12% | 6.62 |
0-2 | 11.31% | 8.84 |
0-3 | 5.64% | 17.71 |
1-0 | 8.04% | 12.44 |
1-1 | 12.03% | 8.31 |
1-2 | 9.00% | 11.11 |
1-3 | 4.49% | 22.26 |
2-0 | 3.20% | 31.26 |
2-1 | 4.79% | 20.89 |
2-2 | 3.58% | 27.91 |
2-3 | 1.79% | 55.93 |
3-0 | 0.85% | 117.84 |
3-1 | 1.27% | 78.73 |
3-2 | 0.95% | 105.19 |
3-3 | 0.47% | 210.81 |
Any Other Home Win | 0.84% | 118.92 |
Any Other Away Win | 3.54% | 28.28 |
Any Other Draw | 0.04% | 2,698.19 |