Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Brighton is likely to win this match with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Tottenham has a probability of 35.91%, while a draw has a probability of 22.39%. The most likely scoreline for a Brighton win is “Any Other Home Win”, with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 8.45% and 1-0 with a probability of 5.67%. The most probable Tottenham win is 1-2 with a probability of 7.81%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.41%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Brighton | Tottenham | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.80 | 1.66 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 41.59% | 22.39% | 35.91% |
Imp Odds | 2.40 | 4.47 | 2.78 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 3.16% | 31.65 |
1.5 | 14.07% | 7.11 |
2.5 | 32.93% | 3.04 |
3.5 | 54.64% | 1.83 |
4.5 | 73.39% | 1.36 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 96.84% | 1.03 |
1.5 | 85.93% | 1.16 |
2.5 | 67.07% | 1.49 |
3.5 | 45.36% | 2.20 |
4.5 | 26.61% | 3.76 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 31.65 | 3.16% |
0-1 | 19.07 | 5.24% |
0-2 | 22.98 | 4.35% |
0-3 | 41.55 | 2.41% |
1-0 | 17.63 | 5.67% |
1-1 | 10.62 | 9.41% |
1-2 | 12.80 | 7.81% |
1-3 | 23.14 | 4.32% |
2-0 | 19.64 | 5.09% |
2-1 | 11.84 | 8.45% |
2-2 | 14.26 | 7.01% |
2-3 | 25.78 | 3.88% |
3-0 | 32.83 | 3.05% |
3-1 | 19.78 | 5.06% |
3-2 | 23.84 | 4.20% |
3-3 | 43.09 | 2.32% |
Any Other Home Win | 9.92 | 10.08% |
Any Other Away Win | 15.28 | 6.54% |
Any Other Draw | 204.81 | 0.49% |