Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Mainz will likely win this match with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Wolfsburg has a probability of 26.15%, while a draw has a probability of 29.05%. The most likely scoreline for a Mainz win is 1-0, with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 9.27% and 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The most probable Wolfsburg win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 13.08%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Mainz 05 | Wolfsburg | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.25 | 0.88 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 44.79% | 29.05% | 26.15% |
| Imp Odds | 2.23 | 3.44 | 3.82 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 11.91% | 8.40 |
| 1.5 | 37.25% | 2.68 |
| 2.5 | 64.21% | 1.56 |
| 3.5 | 83.33% | 1.20 |
| 4.5 | 93.51% | 1.07 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 88.09% | 1.14 |
| 1.5 | 62.75% | 1.59 |
| 2.5 | 35.79% | 2.79 |
| 3.5 | 16.67% | 6.00 |
| 4.5 | 6.49% | 15.40 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 8.40 | 11.91% |
| 0-1 | 9.54 | 10.48% |
| 0-2 | 21.67 | 4.61% |
| 0-3 | 73.87 | 1.35% |
| 1-0 | 6.73 | 14.86% |
| 1-1 | 7.65 | 13.08% |
| 1-2 | 17.37 | 5.76% |
| 1-3 | 59.20 | 1.69% |
| 2-0 | 10.79 | 9.27% |
| 2-1 | 12.26 | 8.16% |
| 2-2 | 27.85 | 3.59% |
| 2-3 | 94.90 | 1.05% |
| 3-0 | 25.94 | 3.85% |
| 3-1 | 29.47 | 3.39% |
| 3-2 | 66.96 | 1.49% |
| 3-3 | 228.19 | 0.44% |
| Any Other Home Win | 26.55 | 3.77% |
| Any Other Away Win | 117.61 | 0.85% |
| Any Other Draw | 3,180.19 | 0.03% |