Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Sevilla is likely to win this match with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Alaves has a probability of 16.59%, while a draw has a probability of 28.1%. The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win is 1-0, with a probability of 19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 12.95% and 2-1 with a probability of 7.87%. The most probable Alaves win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.47%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 13.94%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By Goals
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Sevilla | Alaves | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.36 | 0.61 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 55.31% | 28.10% | 16.59% |
Imp Odds | 1.81 | 3.56 | 6.03 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 13.94% | 7.17 |
1.5 | 41.40% | 2.42 |
2.5 | 68.47% | 1.46 |
3.5 | 86.24% | 1.16 |
4.5 | 95.00% | 1.05 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 86.06% | 1.16 |
1.5 | 58.60% | 1.71 |
2.5 | 31.53% | 3.17 |
3.5 | 13.76% | 7.27 |
4.5 | 5.00% | 19.99 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 13.94% | 7.17 |
0-1 | 8.47% | 11.81 |
0-2 | 2.57% | 38.90 |
0-3 | 0.52% | 192.15 |
1-0 | 19.00% | 5.26 |
1-1 | 11.54% | 8.67 |
1-2 | 3.50% | 28.54 |
1-3 | 0.71% | 140.96 |
2-0 | 12.95% | 7.72 |
2-1 | 7.87% | 12.71 |
2-2 | 2.39% | 41.87 |
2-3 | 0.48% | 206.81 |
3-0 | 5.88% | 16.99 |
3-1 | 3.57% | 27.98 |
3-2 | 1.09% | 92.14 |
3-3 | 0.22% | 455.14 |
Any Other Home Win | 4.95% | 20.20 |
Any Other Away Win | 0.25% | 408.16 |
Any Other Draw | 0.01% | 8,507.78 |