Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Rennes will likely win this match with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Lyon has a probability of 28.47%, while a draw has a probability of 31.46%. The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win is 0-1, with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 8.38% and 1-2 with a probability of 7.09%. The most probable Lyon win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 14.82%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By XG
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lyon | Rennes | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.85 | 1.06 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 28.47% | 31.46% | 40.03% |
| Imp Odds | 3.51 | 3.18 | 2.50 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 14.82% | 6.75 |
| 1.5 | 43.12% | 2.32 |
| 2.5 | 70.12% | 1.43 |
| 3.5 | 87.31% | 1.15 |
| 4.5 | 95.52% | 1.05 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 85.18% | 1.17 |
| 1.5 | 56.88% | 1.76 |
| 2.5 | 29.88% | 3.35 |
| 3.5 | 12.69% | 7.88 |
| 4.5 | 4.48% | 22.31 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 14.82% | 6.75 |
| 0-1 | 15.76% | 6.35 |
| 0-2 | 8.38% | 11.93 |
| 0-3 | 2.97% | 33.67 |
| 1-0 | 12.54% | 7.98 |
| 1-1 | 13.33% | 7.50 |
| 1-2 | 7.09% | 14.11 |
| 1-3 | 2.51% | 39.81 |
| 2-0 | 5.30% | 18.86 |
| 2-1 | 5.64% | 17.74 |
| 2-2 | 3.00% | 33.37 |
| 2-3 | 1.06% | 94.13 |
| 3-0 | 1.49% | 66.91 |
| 3-1 | 1.59% | 62.92 |
| 3-2 | 0.84% | 118.35 |
| 3-3 | 0.30% | 333.89 |
| Any Other Home Win | 1.07% | 93.21 |
| Any Other Away Win | 1.30% | 77.00 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.02% | 5,728.61 |
By XG
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lyon | Rennes | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.37 | 1.37 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 37.22% | 25.64% | 37.08% |
| Imp Odds | 2.69 | 3.90 | 2.70 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 6.50% | 15.38 |
| 1.5 | 24.28% | 4.12 |
| 2.5 | 48.56% | 2.06 |
| 3.5 | 70.69% | 1.41 |
| 4.5 | 85.80% | 1.17 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 93.50% | 1.07 |
| 1.5 | 75.72% | 1.32 |
| 2.5 | 51.44% | 1.94 |
| 3.5 | 29.31% | 3.41 |
| 4.5 | 14.20% | 7.04 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 15.38 | 6.50% |
| 0-1 | 11.26 | 8.88% |
| 0-2 | 16.49 | 6.06% |
| 0-3 | 36.23 | 2.76% |
| 1-0 | 11.25 | 8.89% |
| 1-1 | 8.24 | 12.14% |
| 1-2 | 12.06 | 8.29% |
| 1-3 | 26.50 | 3.77% |
| 2-0 | 16.45 | 6.08% |
| 2-1 | 12.05 | 8.30% |
| 2-2 | 17.64 | 5.67% |
| 2-3 | 38.76 | 2.58% |
| 3-0 | 36.09 | 2.77% |
| 3-1 | 26.43 | 3.78% |
| 3-2 | 38.71 | 2.58% |
| 3-3 | 85.05 | 1.18% |
| Any Other Home Win | 20.79 | 4.81% |
| Any Other Away Win | 28.41 | 3.52% |
| Any Other Draw | 675.71 | 0.15% |