Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Nice will likely win this match with a probability of 75.06%. A win for Metz has a probability of 4.18%, while a draw has a probability of 20.75%. The most likely scoreline for a Nice win is 1-0, with a probability of 25.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 21.31% and 3-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The most probable Metz win is 0-1 with a probability of 3.17%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 14.89%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By XG
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Nice | Metz | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.69 | 0.21 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 75.06% | 20.75% | 4.18% |
| Imp Odds | 1.33 | 4.82 | 23.93 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 14.89% | 6.71 |
| 1.5 | 43.25% | 2.31 |
| 2.5 | 70.26% | 1.42 |
| 3.5 | 87.40% | 1.14 |
| 4.5 | 95.56% | 1.05 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 85.11% | 1.17 |
| 1.5 | 56.75% | 1.76 |
| 2.5 | 29.74% | 3.36 |
| 3.5 | 12.60% | 7.93 |
| 4.5 | 4.44% | 22.51 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 14.89% | 6.71 |
| 0-1 | 3.17% | 31.57 |
| 0-2 | 0.34% | 296.91 |
| 0-3 | 0.02% | 4,188.23 |
| 1-0 | 25.19% | 3.97 |
| 1-1 | 5.36% | 18.66 |
| 1-2 | 0.57% | 175.52 |
| 1-3 | 0.04% | 2,475.92 |
| 2-0 | 21.31% | 4.69 |
| 2-1 | 4.53% | 22.07 |
| 2-2 | 0.48% | 207.52 |
| 2-3 | 0.03% | 2,927.34 |
| 3-0 | 12.01% | 8.32 |
| 3-1 | 2.56% | 39.14 |
| 3-2 | 0.27% | 368.03 |
| 3-3 | 0.02% | 5,191.59 |
| Any Other Home Win | 9.19% | 10.89 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.01% | 19,131.42 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.00% | 227,588.20 |
By XG
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Nice | Metz | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.16 | 0.52 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 75.53% | 16.95% | 7.47% |
| Imp Odds | 1.32 | 5.90 | 13.38 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 6.86% | 14.58 |
| 1.5 | 25.24% | 3.96 |
| 2.5 | 49.86% | 2.01 |
| 3.5 | 71.86% | 1.39 |
| 4.5 | 86.59% | 1.15 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 93.14% | 1.07 |
| 1.5 | 74.76% | 1.34 |
| 2.5 | 50.14% | 1.99 |
| 3.5 | 28.14% | 3.55 |
| 4.5 | 13.41% | 7.46 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 14.58 | 6.86% |
| 0-1 | 28.22 | 3.54% |
| 0-2 | 109.20 | 0.92% |
| 0-3 | 633.94 | 0.16% |
| 1-0 | 6.74 | 14.83% |
| 1-1 | 13.04 | 7.67% |
| 1-2 | 50.49 | 1.98% |
| 1-3 | 293.09 | 0.34% |
| 2-0 | 6.23 | 16.04% |
| 2-1 | 12.06 | 8.29% |
| 2-2 | 46.68 | 2.14% |
| 2-3 | 271.02 | 0.37% |
| 3-0 | 8.65 | 11.57% |
| 3-1 | 16.73 | 5.98% |
| 3-2 | 64.75 | 1.54% |
| 3-3 | 375.90 | 0.27% |
| Any Other Home Win | 5.79 | 17.28% |
| Any Other Away Win | 701.57 | 0.14% |
| Any Other Draw | 5,143.76 | 0.02% |