Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Cagliari will likely win this match with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Torino has a probability of 29.06%, while a draw has a probability of 31.22%. The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win is 1-0, with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 8.23% and 2-1 with a probability of 7.15%. The most probable Torino win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 14.41%.
This match presents an excellent opportunity to consider betting on Cagliari not to lose, as bookmakers are offering average odds of 3.4 for Cagliari win, which is higher than the 2.52 calculated by our model.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Cagliari | Torino | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.07 | 0.87 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 39.70% | 31.22% | 29.06% |
Imp Odds | 2.52 | 3.20 | 3.44 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 14.41% | 6.94 |
1.5 | 42.32% | 2.36 |
2.5 | 69.36% | 1.44 |
3.5 | 86.82% | 1.15 |
4.5 | 95.28% | 1.05 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 85.59% | 1.17 |
1.5 | 57.68% | 1.73 |
2.5 | 30.64% | 3.26 |
3.5 | 13.18% | 7.59 |
4.5 | 4.72% | 21.19 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 14.41% | 6.94 |
0-1 | 12.51% | 7.99 |
0-2 | 5.43% | 18.41 |
0-3 | 1.57% | 63.60 |
1-0 | 15.40% | 6.49 |
1-1 | 13.37% | 7.48 |
1-2 | 5.81% | 17.22 |
1-3 | 1.68% | 59.48 |
2-0 | 8.23% | 12.15 |
2-1 | 7.15% | 13.99 |
2-2 | 3.10% | 32.21 |
2-3 | 0.90% | 111.27 |
3-0 | 2.93% | 34.08 |
3-1 | 2.55% | 39.24 |
3-2 | 1.11% | 90.38 |
3-3 | 0.32% | 312.22 |
Any Other Home Win | 2.33% | 42.93 |
Any Other Away Win | 0.76% | 131.43 |
Any Other Draw | 0.02% | 5,182.83 |