Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Bayern Munich is likely to win this match with a probability of 87.21%. A win for Union Berlin has a probability of 3.69%, while a draw has a probability of 8.33%. The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 42.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 with a probability of 11.81% and 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The most probable Union Berlin win is 1-2 with a probability of 1.21%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 3.89%.
This match offers an enticing opportunity for betting on Bayern Munich total goals over 2.5 for 1.71, given that the average projected goals calculated by our model stand at 3.36.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Bayern Munich | Union Berlin | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 3.36 | 0.62 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 87.21% | 8.33% | 3.69% |
| Imp Odds | 1.15 | 12.01 | 27.08 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 1.87% | 53.53 |
| 1.5 | 9.30% | 10.75 |
| 2.5 | 24.10% | 4.15 |
| 3.5 | 43.73% | 2.29 |
| 4.5 | 63.27% | 1.58 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 98.13% | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | 90.70% | 1.10 |
| 2.5 | 75.90% | 1.32 |
| 3.5 | 56.27% | 1.78 |
| 4.5 | 36.73% | 2.72 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 53.53 | 1.87% |
| 0-1 | 86.30 | 1.16% |
| 0-2 | 278.23 | 0.36% |
| 0-3 | 1,345.58 | 0.07% |
| 1-0 | 15.93 | 6.28% |
| 1-1 | 25.68 | 3.89% |
| 1-2 | 82.81 | 1.21% |
| 1-3 | 400.48 | 0.25% |
| 2-0 | 9.48 | 10.54% |
| 2-1 | 15.29 | 6.54% |
| 2-2 | 49.29 | 2.03% |
| 2-3 | 238.38 | 0.42% |
| 3-0 | 8.47 | 11.81% |
| 3-1 | 13.65 | 7.33% |
| 3-2 | 44.01 | 2.27% |
| 3-3 | 212.84 | 0.47% |
| Any Other Home Win | 2.36 | 42.44% |
| Any Other Away Win | 475.97 | 0.21% |
| Any Other Draw | 1,501.20 | 0.07% |