Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Hoffenheim is likely to win this match with a probability of 57.64%. A win for Heidenheim has a probability of 21.86%, while a draw has a probability of 20.44%. The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 16.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.6% and 2-0 with a probability of 7.57%. The most probable Heidenheim win is 1-2 with a probability of 5.64%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 8.9%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Hoffenheim | FC Heidenheim | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.16 | 1.27 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 57.64% | 20.44% | 21.86% |
| Imp Odds | 1.73 | 4.89 | 4.58 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.25% | 30.76 |
| 1.5 | 14.39% | 6.95 |
| 2.5 | 33.47% | 2.99 |
| 3.5 | 55.26% | 1.81 |
| 4.5 | 73.93% | 1.35 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.75% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 85.61% | 1.17 |
| 2.5 | 66.53% | 1.50 |
| 3.5 | 44.74% | 2.24 |
| 4.5 | 26.07% | 3.84 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 30.76 | 3.25% |
| 0-1 | 24.25 | 4.12% |
| 0-2 | 38.23 | 2.62% |
| 0-3 | 90.39 | 1.11% |
| 1-0 | 14.26 | 7.01% |
| 1-1 | 11.24 | 8.90% |
| 1-2 | 17.72 | 5.64% |
| 1-3 | 41.89 | 2.39% |
| 2-0 | 13.22 | 7.57% |
| 2-1 | 10.42 | 9.60% |
| 2-2 | 16.42 | 6.09% |
| 2-3 | 38.83 | 2.58% |
| 3-0 | 18.38 | 5.44% |
| 3-1 | 14.48 | 6.90% |
| 3-2 | 22.83 | 4.38% |
| 3-3 | 53.99 | 1.85% |
| Any Other Home Win | 5.98 | 16.73% |
| Any Other Away Win | 33.78 | 2.96% |
| Any Other Draw | 282.21 | 0.35% |