Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Fulham is likely to win this match with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Everton has a probability of 30.57%, while a draw has a probability of 24.88%. The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win is 1-0, with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.16% and 2-0 with a probability of 7.31%. The most probable Everton win is 0-1 with a probability of 7.52%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 11.73%.
This match presents an excellent opportunity to consider betting on Fulham to win the match, as bookmakers are offering average odds of 2.51 for Fulham’s win, which is higher than the 2.25 calculated by our model.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Fulham | Everton | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.56 | 1.25 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 44.51% | 24.88% | 30.57% |
| Imp Odds | 2.25 | 4.02 | 3.27 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 6.00% | 16.66 |
| 1.5 | 22.89% | 4.37 |
| 2.5 | 46.64% | 2.14 |
| 3.5 | 68.90% | 1.45 |
| 4.5 | 84.56% | 1.18 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 94.00% | 1.06 |
| 1.5 | 77.11% | 1.30 |
| 2.5 | 53.36% | 1.87 |
| 3.5 | 31.10% | 3.22 |
| 4.5 | 15.44% | 6.48 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 16.66 | 6.00% |
| 0-1 | 13.30 | 7.52% |
| 0-2 | 21.25 | 4.71% |
| 0-3 | 50.91 | 1.96% |
| 1-0 | 10.67 | 9.37% |
| 1-1 | 8.52 | 11.73% |
| 1-2 | 13.61 | 7.35% |
| 1-3 | 32.62 | 3.07% |
| 2-0 | 13.68 | 7.31% |
| 2-1 | 10.92 | 9.16% |
| 2-2 | 17.45 | 5.73% |
| 2-3 | 41.79 | 2.39% |
| 3-0 | 26.29 | 3.80% |
| 3-1 | 20.99 | 4.76% |
| 3-2 | 33.53 | 2.98% |
| 3-3 | 80.33 | 1.24% |
| Any Other Home Win | 14.02 | 7.13% |
| Any Other Away Win | 35.62 | 2.81% |
| Any Other Draw | 607.45 | 0.16% |
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Fulham | Everton | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.74 | 1.14 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 51.36% | 23.63% | 24.98% |
| Imp Odds | 1.95 | 4.23 | 4.00 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 5.58% | 17.93 |
| 1.5 | 21.68% | 4.61 |
| 2.5 | 44.91% | 2.23 |
| 3.5 | 67.27% | 1.49 |
| 4.5 | 83.40% | 1.20 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 94.42% | 1.06 |
| 1.5 | 78.32% | 1.28 |
| 2.5 | 55.09% | 1.82 |
| 3.5 | 32.73% | 3.06 |
| 4.5 | 16.60% | 6.02 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 5.58% | 17.93 |
| 0-1 | 6.38% | 15.67 |
| 0-2 | 3.65% | 27.38 |
| 0-3 | 1.39% | 71.77 |
| 1-0 | 9.72% | 10.29 |
| 1-1 | 11.12% | 8.99 |
| 1-2 | 6.36% | 15.72 |
| 1-3 | 2.43% | 41.20 |
| 2-0 | 8.46% | 11.82 |
| 2-1 | 9.68% | 10.33 |
| 2-2 | 5.54% | 18.05 |
| 2-3 | 2.11% | 47.31 |
| 3-0 | 4.91% | 20.35 |
| 3-1 | 5.62% | 17.78 |
| 3-2 | 3.22% | 31.08 |
| 3-3 | 1.23% | 81.47 |
| Any Other Home Win | 9.74% | 10.27 |
| Any Other Away Win | 2.16% | 46.31 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.17% | 603.03 |