Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Arsenal is likely to win this match with a probability of 57.32%. A win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 18.06%, while a draw has a probability of 24.38%. The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 0-1, with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 11.72% and 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The most probable Nottingham Forest win is 1-0 with a probability of 6.9%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 11.39%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By XG
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Arsenal | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.80 | 1.65 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 18.06% | 24.38% | 57.32% |
| Imp Odds | 5.54 | 4.10 | 1.74 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 8.61% | 11.62 |
| 1.5 | 29.71% | 3.37 |
| 2.5 | 55.60% | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 76.76% | 1.30 |
| 4.5 | 89.74% | 1.11 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 91.39% | 1.09 |
| 1.5 | 70.29% | 1.42 |
| 2.5 | 44.40% | 2.25 |
| 3.5 | 23.24% | 4.30 |
| 4.5 | 10.26% | 9.75 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 8.61% | 11.62 |
| 0-1 | 14.20% | 7.04 |
| 0-2 | 11.72% | 8.53 |
| 0-3 | 6.45% | 15.51 |
| 1-0 | 6.90% | 14.49 |
| 1-1 | 11.39% | 8.78 |
| 1-2 | 9.40% | 10.63 |
| 1-3 | 5.17% | 19.33 |
| 2-0 | 2.77% | 36.11 |
| 2-1 | 4.57% | 21.88 |
| 2-2 | 3.77% | 26.51 |
| 2-3 | 2.08% | 48.19 |
| 3-0 | 0.74% | 135.05 |
| 3-1 | 1.22% | 81.82 |
| 3-2 | 1.01% | 99.14 |
| 3-3 | 0.55% | 180.20 |
| Any Other Home Win | 0.85% | 118.12 |
| Any Other Away Win | 4.68% | 21.37 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.05% | 2,064.03 |
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Arsenal | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.71 | 1.46 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 18.02% | 26.69% | 55.13% |
| Imp Odds | 5.55 | 3.75 | 1.81 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 11.47% | 8.72 |
| 1.5 | 36.30% | 2.75 |
| 2.5 | 63.20% | 1.58 |
| 3.5 | 82.61% | 1.21 |
| 4.5 | 93.12% | 1.07 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 88.53% | 1.13 |
| 1.5 | 63.70% | 1.57 |
| 2.5 | 36.80% | 2.72 |
| 3.5 | 17.39% | 5.75 |
| 4.5 | 6.88% | 14.53 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 8.72 | 11.47% |
| 0-1 | 5.97 | 16.75% |
| 0-2 | 8.18 | 12.23% |
| 0-3 | 16.80 | 5.95% |
| 1-0 | 12.37 | 8.09% |
| 1-1 | 8.47 | 11.81% |
| 1-2 | 11.60 | 8.62% |
| 1-3 | 23.82 | 4.20% |
| 2-0 | 35.07 | 2.85% |
| 2-1 | 24.02 | 4.16% |
| 2-2 | 32.89 | 3.04% |
| 2-3 | 67.56 | 1.48% |
| 3-0 | 149.23 | 0.67% |
| 3-1 | 102.18 | 0.98% |
| 3-2 | 139.93 | 0.71% |
| 3-3 | 287.43 | 0.35% |
| Any Other Home Win | 179.26 | 0.56% |
| Any Other Away Win | 32.82 | 3.05% |
| Any Other Draw | 4,284.20 | 0.02% |