Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Brighton is likely to win this match with a probability of 57.14%. A win for Luton has a probability of 23.42%, while a draw has a probability of 19.33%. The most likely scoreline for a Brighton win is 1-2, with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 with a probability of 88.18% and 2-0 with a probability of 7.5%. The most probable Luton win is 2-1 with a probability of 6.66%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.43%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Luton | Brighton | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.28 | 1.84 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 26.62% | 22.84% | 50.30% |
| Imp Odds | 3.76 | 4.38 | 1.99 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.46% | 22.44 |
| 1.5 | 18.32% | 5.46 |
| 2.5 | 39.88% | 2.51 |
| 3.5 | 62.24% | 1.61 |
| 4.5 | 79.63% | 1.26 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.54% | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | 81.68% | 1.22 |
| 2.5 | 60.12% | 1.66 |
| 3.5 | 37.76% | 2.65 |
| 4.5 | 20.37% | 4.91 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 22.44 | 4.46% |
| 0-1 | 12.23 | 8.18% |
| 0-2 | 13.33 | 7.50% |
| 0-3 | 21.79 | 4.59% |
| 1-0 | 17.59 | 5.69% |
| 1-1 | 9.59 | 10.43% |
| 1-2 | 10.45 | 9.57% |
| 1-3 | 17.08 | 5.86% |
| 2-0 | 27.57 | 3.63% |
| 2-1 | 15.03 | 6.66% |
| 2-2 | 16.38 | 6.11% |
| 2-3 | 26.77 | 3.74% |
| 3-0 | 64.84 | 1.54% |
| 3-1 | 35.33 | 2.83% |
| 3-2 | 38.51 | 2.60% |
| 3-3 | 62.96 | 1.59% |
| Any Other Home Win | 27.13 | 3.69% |
| Any Other Away Win | 12.66 | 7.90% |
| Any Other Draw | 391.13 | 0.26% |
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Luton | Brighton | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.42 | 2.00 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 27.26% | 21.69% | 50.75% |
| Imp Odds | 3.67 | 4.61 | 1.97 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.30% | 30.29 |
| 1.5 | 14.56% | 6.87 |
| 2.5 | 33.77% | 2.96 |
| 3.5 | 55.60% | 1.80 |
| 4.5 | 74.22% | 1.35 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.70% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 85.44% | 1.17 |
| 2.5 | 66.23% | 1.51 |
| 3.5 | 44.40% | 2.25 |
| 4.5 | 25.78% | 3.88 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 3.30% | 30.29 |
| 0-1 | 6.59% | 15.18 |
| 0-2 | 6.57% | 15.21 |
| 0-3 | 4.37% | 22.87 |
| 1-0 | 4.67% | 21.40 |
| 1-1 | 9.32% | 10.72 |
| 1-2 | 9.30% | 10.75 |
| 1-3 | 6.19% | 16.16 |
| 2-0 | 3.31% | 30.24 |
| 2-1 | 6.60% | 15.15 |
| 2-2 | 6.58% | 15.19 |
| 2-3 | 4.38% | 22.84 |
| 3-0 | 1.56% | 64.09 |
| 3-1 | 3.11% | 32.12 |
| 3-2 | 3.11% | 32.20 |
| 3-3 | 2.07% | 48.41 |
| Any Other Home Win | 4.90% | 20.39 |
| Any Other Away Win | 10.18% | 9.82 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.41% | 244.35 |