Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Bologna is likely to win this match with a probability of 63.3%. A win for Lecce has a probability of 15.48%, while a draw has a probability of 21.2%. The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 with a probability of 12.01% and 2-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The most probable Lecce win is 0-1 with a probability of 5.18%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.08%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Bologna | Lecce | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.95 | 0.84 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 63.30% | 21.20% | 15.48% |
| Imp Odds | 1.58 | 4.72 | 6.46 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 6.17% | 16.21 |
| 1.5 | 23.36% | 4.28 |
| 2.5 | 47.30% | 2.11 |
| 3.5 | 69.52% | 1.44 |
| 4.5 | 85.00% | 1.18 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 93.83% | 1.07 |
| 1.5 | 76.64% | 1.30 |
| 2.5 | 52.70% | 1.90 |
| 3.5 | 30.48% | 3.28 |
| 4.5 | 15.00% | 6.66 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 16.21 | 6.17% |
| 0-1 | 19.30 | 5.18% |
| 0-2 | 45.95 | 2.18% |
| 0-3 | 164.16 | 0.61% |
| 1-0 | 8.33 | 12.01% |
| 1-1 | 9.92 | 10.08% |
| 1-2 | 23.62 | 4.23% |
| 1-3 | 84.38 | 1.19% |
| 2-0 | 8.56 | 11.68% |
| 2-1 | 10.20 | 9.81% |
| 2-2 | 24.28 | 4.12% |
| 2-3 | 86.74 | 1.15% |
| 3-0 | 13.20 | 7.57% |
| 3-1 | 15.72 | 6.36% |
| 3-2 | 37.44 | 2.67% |
| 3-3 | 133.75 | 0.75% |
| Any Other Home Win | 7.57 | 13.20% |
| Any Other Away Win | 126.64 | 0.79% |
| Any Other Draw | 1,225.87 | 0.08% |
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Bologna | Lecce | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.64 | 0.48 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 66.24% | 23.44% | 10.31% |
| Imp Odds | 1.51 | 4.27 | 9.70 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 12.04% | 8.30 |
| 1.5 | 37.54% | 2.66 |
| 2.5 | 64.52% | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 83.55% | 1.20 |
| 4.5 | 93.62% | 1.07 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 87.96% | 1.14 |
| 1.5 | 62.46% | 1.60 |
| 2.5 | 35.48% | 2.82 |
| 3.5 | 16.45% | 6.08 |
| 4.5 | 6.38% | 15.68 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 12.04% | 8.30 |
| 0-1 | 5.73% | 17.47 |
| 0-2 | 1.36% | 73.49 |
| 0-3 | 0.22% | 463.78 |
| 1-0 | 19.77% | 5.06 |
| 1-1 | 9.40% | 10.64 |
| 1-2 | 2.23% | 44.78 |
| 1-3 | 0.35% | 282.58 |
| 2-0 | 16.22% | 6.16 |
| 2-1 | 7.71% | 12.97 |
| 2-2 | 1.83% | 54.56 |
| 2-3 | 0.29% | 344.35 |
| 3-0 | 8.87% | 11.27 |
| 3-1 | 4.22% | 23.71 |
| 3-2 | 1.00% | 99.74 |
| 3-3 | 0.16% | 629.44 |
| Any Other Home Win | 8.45% | 11.84 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.11% | 942.41 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.01% | 12,509.64 |
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