Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Fiorentina is likely to win this match with a probability of 55.58%. A win for Frosinone has a probability of 22.63%, while a draw has a probability of 21.75%. The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.8% and 1-0 with a probability of 8.35%. The most probable Frosinone win is 1-2 with a probability of 5.9%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.93%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Fiorentina | Frosinone | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.97 | 1.19 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 55.58% | 21.75% | 22.63% |
| Imp Odds | 1.80 | 4.60 | 4.42 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.23% | 23.62 |
| 1.5 | 17.62% | 5.68 |
| 2.5 | 38.78% | 2.58 |
| 3.5 | 61.09% | 1.64 |
| 4.5 | 78.73% | 1.27 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.77% | 1.04 |
| 1.5 | 82.38% | 1.21 |
| 2.5 | 61.22% | 1.63 |
| 3.5 | 38.91% | 2.57 |
| 4.5 | 21.27% | 4.70 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 23.62 | 4.23% |
| 0-1 | 19.88 | 5.03% |
| 0-2 | 33.44 | 2.99% |
| 0-3 | 84.41 | 1.18% |
| 1-0 | 11.97 | 8.35% |
| 1-1 | 10.07 | 9.93% |
| 1-2 | 16.94 | 5.90% |
| 1-3 | 42.77 | 2.34% |
| 2-0 | 12.13 | 8.24% |
| 2-1 | 10.20 | 9.80% |
| 2-2 | 17.17 | 5.82% |
| 2-3 | 43.34 | 2.31% |
| 3-0 | 18.44 | 5.42% |
| 3-1 | 15.51 | 6.45% |
| 3-2 | 26.10 | 3.83% |
| 3-3 | 65.88 | 1.52% |
| Any Other Home Win | 7.42 | 13.48% |
| Any Other Away Win | 40.97 | 2.44% |
| Any Other Draw | 408.36 | 0.24% |
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