Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Atalanta is likely to win this match with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Genoa has a probability of 24.6%, while a draw has a probability of 30.96%. The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta win is 0-1, with a probability of 16.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 9.66% and 1-2 with a probability of 7.41%. The most probable Genoa win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 14.84%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Genoa | Atalanta | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.77 | 1.14 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 24.60% | 30.96% | 44.40% |
| Imp Odds | 4.07 | 3.23 | 2.25 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 14.84% | 6.74 |
| 1.5 | 43.16% | 2.32 |
| 2.5 | 70.17% | 1.43 |
| 3.5 | 87.34% | 1.14 |
| 4.5 | 95.53% | 1.05 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 85.16% | 1.17 |
| 1.5 | 56.84% | 1.76 |
| 2.5 | 29.83% | 3.35 |
| 3.5 | 12.66% | 7.90 |
| 4.5 | 4.47% | 22.37 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 6.74 | 14.84% |
| 0-1 | 5.91 | 16.93% |
| 0-2 | 10.35 | 9.66% |
| 0-3 | 27.22 | 3.67% |
| 1-0 | 8.79 | 11.38% |
| 1-1 | 7.70 | 12.98% |
| 1-2 | 13.50 | 7.41% |
| 1-3 | 35.50 | 2.82% |
| 2-0 | 22.92 | 4.36% |
| 2-1 | 20.09 | 4.98% |
| 2-2 | 35.22 | 2.84% |
| 2-3 | 92.60 | 1.08% |
| 3-0 | 89.69 | 1.11% |
| 3-1 | 78.61 | 1.27% |
| 3-2 | 137.80 | 0.73% |
| 3-3 | 362.33 | 0.28% |
| Any Other Home Win | 130.52 | 0.77% |
| Any Other Away Win | 65.47 | 1.53% |
| Any Other Draw | 6,397.78 | 0.02% |
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