Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Bayer Leverkusen will likely win this match with a probability of **53.48%**. A win for Augsburg has a probability of **23.9%**, while a draw has a probability of **22.32%**. The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 1-2, with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 with a probability of 8.54% and “**Any Other Away Win**” with a probability of 8.49%. The most probable Augsburg win is 2-1 with a probability of 6.15%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.25%.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.

By XG

By XG

## Full-time Result Based On XG

Home Team | Away Team | ||

Augsburg | Bayer Leverkusen | ||

Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||

1.20 | 1.90 | ||

Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |

%Chance | 23.90% | 22.32% | 53.48% |

Imp Odds | 4.18 | 4.48 | 1.87 |

## Goals Over/Under Based On XG

Under Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 4.48% | 22.30 |

1.5 | 18.41% | 5.43 |

2.5 | 40.02% | 2.50 |

3.5 | 62.38% | 1.60 |

4.5 | 79.74% | 1.25 |

Over Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 95.52% | 1.05 |

1.5 | 81.59% | 1.23 |

2.5 | 59.98% | 1.67 |

3.5 | 37.62% | 2.66 |

4.5 | 20.26% | 4.94 |

## Correct Score Based On XG

Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |

0-0 | 22.30 | 4.48% |

0-1 | 11.71 | 8.54% |

0-2 | 12.31 | 8.13% |

0-3 | 19.39 | 5.16% |

1-0 | 18.57 | 5.38% |

1-1 | 9.75 | 10.25% |

1-2 | 10.25 | 9.76% |

1-3 | 16.15 | 6.19% |

2-0 | 30.93 | 3.23% |

2-1 | 16.25 | 6.15% |

2-2 | 17.07 | 5.86% |

2-3 | 26.90 | 3.72% |

3-0 | 77.28 | 1.29% |

3-1 | 40.59 | 2.46% |

3-2 | 42.64 | 2.35% |

3-3 | 67.19 | 1.49% |

Any Other Home Win | 33.05 | 3.03% |

Any Other Away Win | 11.78 | 8.49% |

Any Other Draw | 428.49 | 0.23% |