Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Bayer Leverkusen will likely win this match with a probability of 53.48%. A win for Augsburg has a probability of 23.9%, while a draw has a probability of 22.32%. The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 1-2, with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 with a probability of 8.54% and “Any Other Away Win” with a probability of 8.49%. The most probable Augsburg win is 2-1 with a probability of 6.15%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.25%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Augsburg | Bayer Leverkusen | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.20 | 1.90 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 23.90% | 22.32% | 53.48% |
| Imp Odds | 4.18 | 4.48 | 1.87 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.48% | 22.30 |
| 1.5 | 18.41% | 5.43 |
| 2.5 | 40.02% | 2.50 |
| 3.5 | 62.38% | 1.60 |
| 4.5 | 79.74% | 1.25 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.52% | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | 81.59% | 1.23 |
| 2.5 | 59.98% | 1.67 |
| 3.5 | 37.62% | 2.66 |
| 4.5 | 20.26% | 4.94 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 22.30 | 4.48% |
| 0-1 | 11.71 | 8.54% |
| 0-2 | 12.31 | 8.13% |
| 0-3 | 19.39 | 5.16% |
| 1-0 | 18.57 | 5.38% |
| 1-1 | 9.75 | 10.25% |
| 1-2 | 10.25 | 9.76% |
| 1-3 | 16.15 | 6.19% |
| 2-0 | 30.93 | 3.23% |
| 2-1 | 16.25 | 6.15% |
| 2-2 | 17.07 | 5.86% |
| 2-3 | 26.90 | 3.72% |
| 3-0 | 77.28 | 1.29% |
| 3-1 | 40.59 | 2.46% |
| 3-2 | 42.64 | 2.35% |
| 3-3 | 67.19 | 1.49% |
| Any Other Home Win | 33.05 | 3.03% |
| Any Other Away Win | 11.78 | 8.49% |
| Any Other Draw | 428.49 | 0.23% |