Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Bayern Munich will likely win this match with a probability of 84.81%. A win for Hoffenheim has a probability of 5.18%, while a draw has a probability of 8.87%. The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 46.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 with a probability of 8.85% and 3-1 with a probability of 7.78%. The most probable Hoffenheim win is 1-2 with a probability of 1.6%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 3.63%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Bayern Munich | Hoffenheim | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 3.58 | 0.88 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 84.81% | 8.87% | 5.18% |
| Imp Odds | 1.18 | 11.27 | 19.30 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 1.15% | 86.60 |
| 1.5 | 6.31% | 15.86 |
| 2.5 | 17.80% | 5.62 |
| 3.5 | 34.89% | 2.87 |
| 4.5 | 53.95% | 1.85 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 98.85% | 1.01 |
| 1.5 | 93.69% | 1.07 |
| 2.5 | 82.20% | 1.22 |
| 3.5 | 65.11% | 1.54 |
| 4.5 | 46.05% | 2.17 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 86.60 | 1.15% |
| 0-1 | 98.56 | 1.01% |
| 0-2 | 224.37 | 0.45% |
| 0-3 | 766.15 | 0.13% |
| 1-0 | 24.17 | 4.14% |
| 1-1 | 27.51 | 3.63% |
| 1-2 | 62.63 | 1.60% |
| 1-3 | 213.85 | 0.47% |
| 2-0 | 13.49 | 7.41% |
| 2-1 | 15.36 | 6.51% |
| 2-2 | 34.96 | 2.86% |
| 2-3 | 119.38 | 0.84% |
| 3-0 | 11.30 | 8.85% |
| 3-1 | 12.86 | 7.78% |
| 3-2 | 29.28 | 3.42% |
| 3-3 | 99.96 | 1.00% |
| Any Other Home Win | 2.14 | 46.71% |
| Any Other Away Win | 152.66 | 0.66% |
| Any Other Draw | 446.65 | 0.22% |
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Bayern Munich | Hoffenheim | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 3.53 | 1.09 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 81.17% | 10.38% | 7.40% |
| Imp Odds | 1.23 | 9.63 | 13.52 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 0.99% | 101.37 |
| 1.5 | 5.54% | 18.04 |
| 2.5 | 16.06% | 6.22 |
| 3.5 | 32.26% | 3.10 |
| 4.5 | 50.97% | 1.96 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 99.01% | 1.01 |
| 1.5 | 94.46% | 1.06 |
| 2.5 | 83.94% | 1.19 |
| 3.5 | 67.74% | 1.48 |
| 4.5 | 49.03% | 2.04 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 0.99% | 101.37 |
| 0-1 | 1.07% | 93.34 |
| 0-2 | 0.58% | 171.89 |
| 0-3 | 0.21% | 474.82 |
| 1-0 | 3.48% | 28.70 |
| 1-1 | 3.78% | 26.42 |
| 1-2 | 2.06% | 48.66 |
| 1-3 | 0.74% | 134.40 |
| 2-0 | 6.16% | 16.25 |
| 2-1 | 6.69% | 14.96 |
| 2-2 | 3.63% | 27.55 |
| 2-3 | 1.31% | 76.09 |
| 3-0 | 7.25% | 13.80 |
| 3-1 | 7.87% | 12.70 |
| 3-2 | 4.27% | 23.39 |
| 3-3 | 1.55% | 64.62 |
| Any Other Home Win | 45.45% | 2.20 |
| Any Other Away Win | 1.35% | 74.18 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.43% | 230.07 |