Bochum vs Bayern Munich

Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Bayern Munich is likely to win this match with a probability of 60.07%. A win for Bochum has a probability of 19.12%, while a draw has a probability of 20.28%. The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is “Any Other Away Win“, with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 9.84% and 0-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The most probable Bochum win is 2-1 with a probability of 5.16%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.21%.

This match presents a compelling opportunity to bet on Bochum not to lose. Bookmakers are offering average odds for Bochum win of 7.7, higher than our model’s predictions of 3.88 (based on goal statistics) and 5.23 (based on expected goals, or XG, which estimates the likelihood of scoring based on shot quality and location). This discrepancy suggests that bookmakers may be overvaluing the opponent, making Bochum a potentially valuable underdog bet.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.