Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Freiburg is likely to win this match with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt has a probability of 36.85%, while a draw has a probability of 25.8%. The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win is 1-0, with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scoreline for that outcome is 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The most probable Eintracht Frankfurt win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.24%.
This match also offers an opportunity for betting on total goals over 2.5, given that the average projected goals calculated by our model stand at 3.38 (based on XG).
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Freiburg | Eintracht Frankfurt | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.09 | 1.30 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 55.56% | 21.00% | 23.38% |
| Imp Odds | 1.80 | 4.76 | 4.28 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.39% | 29.48 |
| 1.5 | 14.87% | 6.73 |
| 2.5 | 34.29% | 2.92 |
| 3.5 | 56.19% | 1.78 |
| 4.5 | 74.72% | 1.34 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.61% | 1.04 |
| 1.5 | 85.13% | 1.17 |
| 2.5 | 65.71% | 1.52 |
| 3.5 | 43.81% | 2.28 |
| 4.5 | 25.28% | 3.96 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 29.48 | 3.39% |
| 0-1 | 22.74 | 4.40% |
| 0-2 | 35.07 | 2.85% |
| 0-3 | 81.14 | 1.23% |
| 1-0 | 14.13 | 7.08% |
| 1-1 | 10.89 | 9.18% |
| 1-2 | 16.80 | 5.95% |
| 1-3 | 38.87 | 2.57% |
| 2-0 | 13.54 | 7.39% |
| 2-1 | 10.44 | 9.58% |
| 2-2 | 16.10 | 6.21% |
| 2-3 | 37.25 | 2.68% |
| 3-0 | 19.46 | 5.14% |
| 3-1 | 15.01 | 6.66% |
| 3-2 | 23.14 | 4.32% |
| 3-3 | 53.54 | 1.87% |
| Any Other Home Win | 6.50 | 15.39% |
| Any Other Away Win | 31.46 | 3.18% |
| Any Other Draw | 283.43 | 0.35% |