Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim Predictions

Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Borussia Dortmund is likely to win this match with a probability of 57.24%. A win for Hoffenheim has a probability of 23.83%, while a draw has a probability of 18.78%. The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 22.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 8.34% and 3-1 with a probability of 6.91%. The most probable Hoffenheim win is 1-2 with a probability of 5.33%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 6.7%.

This match presents a compelling opportunity to bet on Hoffenheim not to lose the match. Bookmakers are offering average odds of 5 for Genoa to win, higher than our model’s predictions of 2.67 (based on goal statistics) and 4.2 (based on expected goals, or XG, which estimates the likelihood of scoring based on shot quality and location). This discrepancy suggests that bookmakers may be overvaluing the opponent, making Hoffenheim a risky, but potentially valuable underdog bet.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.