Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Bayern Munich is likely to win this match with a probability of 78%. A win for Cologne has a probability of 6.74%, while a draw has a probability of 13.51%. The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 0-2, with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are “Any Other Away Win” with a probability of 12.46% and 0-3 with a probability of 11.56%. The most probable Cologne win is 1-0 with a probability of 2.45%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 6.42%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
Goals
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| FC Cologne | Bayern Munich | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.63 | 2.62 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 6.74% | 13.51% | 78.00% |
| Imp Odds | 14.84 | 7.40 | 1.28 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.86% | 25.87 |
| 1.5 | 16.44% | 6.08 |
| 2.5 | 36.89% | 2.71 |
| 3.5 | 59.07% | 1.69 |
| 4.5 | 77.11% | 1.30 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.14% | 1.04 |
| 1.5 | 83.56% | 1.20 |
| 2.5 | 63.11% | 1.58 |
| 3.5 | 40.93% | 2.44 |
| 4.5 | 22.89% | 4.37 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 25.87 | 3.86% |
| 0-1 | 9.88 | 10.12% |
| 0-2 | 7.55 | 13.25% |
| 0-3 | 8.65 | 11.56% |
| 1-0 | 40.76 | 2.45% |
| 1-1 | 15.57 | 6.42% |
| 1-2 | 11.89 | 8.41% |
| 1-3 | 13.62 | 7.34% |
| 2-0 | 128.42 | 0.78% |
| 2-1 | 49.04 | 2.04% |
| 2-2 | 37.46 | 2.67% |
| 2-3 | 42.92 | 2.33% |
| 3-0 | 606.87 | 0.16% |
| 3-1 | 231.77 | 0.43% |
| 3-2 | 177.02 | 0.56% |
| 3-3 | 202.82 | 0.49% |
| Any Other Home Win | 325.31 | 0.31% |
| Any Other Away Win | 8.03 | 12.46% |
| Any Other Draw | 1,825.13 | 0.05% |
Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| FC Cologne | Bayern Munich | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.47 | 3.45 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 2.35% | 6.76% | 85.92% |
| Imp Odds | 42.47 | 14.78 | 1.16 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 1.97% | 50.80 |
| 1.5 | 9.70% | 10.31 |
| 2.5 | 24.88% | 4.02 |
| 3.5 | 44.77% | 2.23 |
| 4.5 | 64.29% | 1.56 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 98.03% | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | 90.30% | 1.11 |
| 2.5 | 75.12% | 1.33 |
| 3.5 | 55.23% | 1.81 |
| 4.5 | 35.71% | 2.80 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 1.97% | 50.80 |
| 0-1 | 6.80% | 14.70 |
| 0-2 | 11.75% | 8.51 |
| 0-3 | 13.53% | 7.39 |
| 1-0 | 0.93% | 107.41 |
| 1-1 | 3.22% | 31.09 |
| 1-2 | 5.56% | 18.00 |
| 1-3 | 6.40% | 15.63 |
| 2-0 | 0.22% | 454.17 |
| 2-1 | 0.76% | 131.45 |
| 2-2 | 1.31% | 76.10 |
| 2-3 | 1.51% | 66.07 |
| 3-0 | 0.03% | 2,880.60 |
| 3-1 | 0.12% | 833.75 |
| 3-2 | 0.21% | 482.64 |
| 3-3 | 0.24% | 419.08 |
| Any Other Home Win | 0.08% | 1,235.66 |
| Any Other Away Win | 16.72% | 5.98 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.03% | 3,840.35 |