Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stuttgart win with a probability of 58.04%. A win for Cologne has a probability of 17.59% and a draw has a probability of 24.11%. The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 11.87% and 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The likeliest Cologne win is 1-0 with a probability of 6.74%, while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.27%).
This match is interesting for betting on the away team, as the average odds for a win offered by bookmakers are higher than what our model calculates, with odds at 1.72 compared to around 2.43.
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Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| FC Cologne | VfB Stuttgart | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.79 | 1.67 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 17.59% | 24.11% | 58.04% |
| Imp Odds | 5.69 | 4.15 | 1.72 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 8.50% | 11.77 |
| 1.5 | 29.44% | 3.40 |
| 2.5 | 55.27% | 1.81 |
| 3.5 | 76.49% | 1.31 |
| 4.5 | 89.57% | 1.12 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 91.50% | 1.09 |
| 1.5 | 70.56% | 1.42 |
| 2.5 | 44.73% | 2.24 |
| 3.5 | 23.51% | 4.25 |
| 4.5 | 10.43% | 9.59 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 11.77 | 8.50% |
| 0-1 | 7.04 | 14.20% |
| 0-2 | 8.42 | 11.87% |
| 0-3 | 15.11 | 6.62% |
| 1-0 | 14.83 | 6.74% |
| 1-1 | 8.87 | 11.27% |
| 1-2 | 10.61 | 9.42% |
| 1-3 | 19.04 | 5.25% |
| 2-0 | 37.37 | 2.68% |
| 2-1 | 22.35 | 4.47% |
| 2-2 | 26.74 | 3.74% |
| 2-3 | 47.97 | 2.08% |
| 3-0 | 141.23 | 0.71% |
| 3-1 | 84.47 | 1.18% |
| 3-2 | 101.05 | 0.99% |
| 3-3 | 181.32 | 0.55% |
| Any Other Home Win | 122.82 | 0.81% |
| Any Other Away Win | 20.76 | 4.82% |
| Any Other Draw | 2,071.90 | 0.05% |