Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.9%. A win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 17.19% and a draw has a probability of 15.52%. The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is “Any Other Away Win” with a probability of 26.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 with a probability of 7.25% and 1-2 with a probability of 7.28%. The likeliest Hoffenheim win is “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 5.1%, while for a drawn scoreline it is 2-2 (5.67%).
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By XG
By XG
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Mainz 05 | Bayer Leverkusen | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.56 | 3.03 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 17.19% | 15.52% | 65.90% |
| Imp Odds | 5.82 | 6.44 | 1.52 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 1.02% | 98.29 |
| 1.5 | 5.69% | 17.59 |
| 2.5 | 16.39% | 6.10 |
| 3.5 | 32.77% | 3.05 |
| 4.5 | 51.55% | 1.94 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 98.98% | 1.01 |
| 1.5 | 94.31% | 1.06 |
| 2.5 | 83.61% | 1.20 |
| 3.5 | 67.23% | 1.49 |
| 4.5 | 48.45% | 2.06 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 98.29 | 1.02% |
| 0-1 | 32.44 | 3.08% |
| 0-2 | 21.41 | 4.67% |
| 0-3 | 21.19 | 4.72% |
| 1-0 | 63.10 | 1.58% |
| 1-1 | 20.82 | 4.80% |
| 1-2 | 13.74 | 7.28% |
| 1-3 | 13.61 | 7.35% |
| 2-0 | 81.02 | 1.23% |
| 2-1 | 26.74 | 3.74% |
| 2-2 | 17.65 | 5.67% |
| 2-3 | 17.47 | 5.72% |
| 3-0 | 156.04 | 0.64% |
| 3-1 | 51.50 | 1.94% |
| 3-2 | 33.99 | 2.94% |
| 3-3 | 33.65 | 2.97% |
| Any Other Home Win | 19.60 | 5.10% |
| Any Other Away Win | 3.76 | 26.57% |
| Any Other Draw | 93.79 | 1.07% |