Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.9%. A win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 17.19% and a draw has a probability of 15.52%. The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is **“Any Other Away Win**” with a probability of 26.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 with a probability of 7.25% and 1-2 with a probability of 7.28%. The likeliest Hoffenheim win is “**Any Other Home Win**” with a probability of 5.1%, while for a drawn scoreline it is 2-2 (5.67%).

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By XG

By XG

## Match Result Market By XG

Home Team | Away Team | ||

Mainz 05 | Bayer Leverkusen | ||

Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||

1.56 | 3.03 | ||

Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |

%Chance | 17.19% | 15.52% | 65.90% |

Imp Odds | 5.82 | 6.44 | 1.52 |

## Over and Under Market By XG

Under Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 1.02% | 98.29 |

1.5 | 5.69% | 17.59 |

2.5 | 16.39% | 6.10 |

3.5 | 32.77% | 3.05 |

4.5 | 51.55% | 1.94 |

Over Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 98.98% | 1.01 |

1.5 | 94.31% | 1.06 |

2.5 | 83.61% | 1.20 |

3.5 | 67.23% | 1.49 |

4.5 | 48.45% | 2.06 |

## Correct Score Market By XG

Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |

0-0 | 98.29 | 1.02% |

0-1 | 32.44 | 3.08% |

0-2 | 21.41 | 4.67% |

0-3 | 21.19 | 4.72% |

1-0 | 63.10 | 1.58% |

1-1 | 20.82 | 4.80% |

1-2 | 13.74 | 7.28% |

1-3 | 13.61 | 7.35% |

2-0 | 81.02 | 1.23% |

2-1 | 26.74 | 3.74% |

2-2 | 17.65 | 5.67% |

2-3 | 17.47 | 5.72% |

3-0 | 156.04 | 0.64% |

3-1 | 51.50 | 1.94% |

3-2 | 33.99 | 2.94% |

3-3 | 33.65 | 2.97% |

Any Other Home Win | 19.60 | 5.10% |

Any Other Away Win | 3.76 | 26.57% |

Any Other Draw | 93.79 | 1.07% |