Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Freiburg is likely to win this match with a probability of 56.63%. A win for Hoffenheim has a probability of 23.44%, while a draw has a probability of 19.84%. The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 18.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.11% and 3-1 with a probability of 6.92%. The most probable Hoffenheim win is 1-2 with a probability of 5.7%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 7.99%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Freiburg | Hoffenheim | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.28 | 1.43 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 56.63% | 19.84% | 23.44% |
| Imp Odds | 1.77 | 5.04 | 4.27 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 2.46% | 40.69 |
| 1.5 | 11.56% | 8.65 |
| 2.5 | 28.44% | 3.52 |
| 3.5 | 49.29% | 2.03 |
| 4.5 | 68.60% | 1.46 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 97.54% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 88.44% | 1.13 |
| 2.5 | 71.56% | 1.40 |
| 3.5 | 50.71% | 1.97 |
| 4.5 | 31.40% | 3.19 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 40.69 | 2.46% |
| 0-1 | 28.52 | 3.51% |
| 0-2 | 39.97 | 2.50% |
| 0-3 | 84.02 | 1.19% |
| 1-0 | 17.86 | 5.60% |
| 1-1 | 12.51 | 7.99% |
| 1-2 | 17.54 | 5.70% |
| 1-3 | 36.87 | 2.71% |
| 2-0 | 15.67 | 6.38% |
| 2-1 | 10.98 | 9.11% |
| 2-2 | 15.39 | 6.50% |
| 2-3 | 32.35 | 3.09% |
| 3-0 | 20.63 | 4.85% |
| 3-1 | 14.45 | 6.92% |
| 3-2 | 20.26 | 4.94% |
| 3-3 | 42.59 | 2.35% |
| Any Other Home Win | 5.31 | 18.84% |
| Any Other Away Win | 23.93 | 4.18% |
| Any Other Draw | 183.35 | 0.55% |