Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Heidenheim has a probability of 29.59% and a draw has a probability of 18.65%. The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win is “Any Other Away Win” with a probability of 19.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 6.98% and 1-3 with a probability of 5.99%. The likeliest Heidenheim win is “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 10.82%, while for a drawn scoreline it is 2-2 (6.83%).
This match is interesting for betting on the away team, as the average odds for a win offered by bookmakers are higher than what our model calculates, with odds at 1.95 compared to around 2.2.
Check out free Bundesliga predictions on other matches.
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| FC Heidenheim | Union Berlin | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.96 | 2.57 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 29.59% | 18.65% | 51.20% |
| Imp Odds | 3.38 | 5.36 | 1.95 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 1.08% | 92.79 |
| 1.5 | 5.96% | 16.78 |
| 2.5 | 17.02% | 5.88 |
| 3.5 | 33.72% | 2.97 |
| 4.5 | 52.64% | 1.90 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 98.92% | 1.01 |
| 1.5 | 94.04% | 1.06 |
| 2.5 | 82.98% | 1.21 |
| 3.5 | 66.28% | 1.51 |
| 4.5 | 47.36% | 2.11 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 92.79 | 1.08% |
| 0-1 | 36.07 | 2.77% |
| 0-2 | 28.04 | 3.57% |
| 0-3 | 32.70 | 3.06% |
| 1-0 | 47.40 | 2.11% |
| 1-1 | 18.42 | 5.43% |
| 1-2 | 14.32 | 6.98% |
| 1-3 | 16.70 | 5.99% |
| 2-0 | 48.42 | 2.07% |
| 2-1 | 18.82 | 5.31% |
| 2-2 | 14.63 | 6.83% |
| 2-3 | 17.06 | 5.86% |
| 3-0 | 74.20 | 1.35% |
| 3-1 | 28.84 | 3.47% |
| 3-2 | 22.42 | 4.46% |
| 3-3 | 26.15 | 3.82% |
| Any Other Home Win | 9.24 | 10.82% |
| Any Other Away Win | 5.06 | 19.76% |
| Any Other Draw | 67.38 | 1.48% |
Match Result Market
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| FC Heidenheim | Union Berlin | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.96 | 2.57 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 29.59% | 18.65% | 51.20% |
| Imp Odds | 3.38 | 5.36 | 1.95 |
Over and Under Market
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 1.08% | 92.79 |
| 1.5 | 5.96% | 16.78 |
| 2.5 | 17.02% | 5.88 |
| 3.5 | 33.72% | 2.97 |
| 4.5 | 52.64% | 1.90 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 98.92% | 1.01 |
| 1.5 | 94.04% | 1.06 |
| 2.5 | 82.98% | 1.21 |
| 3.5 | 66.28% | 1.51 |
| 4.5 | 47.36% | 2.11 |
Correct Score Market
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 92.79 | 1.08% |
| 0-1 | 36.07 | 2.77% |
| 0-2 | 28.04 | 3.57% |
| 0-3 | 32.70 | 3.06% |
| 1-0 | 47.40 | 2.11% |
| 1-1 | 18.42 | 5.43% |
| 1-2 | 14.32 | 6.98% |
| 1-3 | 16.70 | 5.99% |
| 2-0 | 48.42 | 2.07% |
| 2-1 | 18.82 | 5.31% |
| 2-2 | 14.63 | 6.83% |
| 2-3 | 17.06 | 5.86% |
| 3-0 | 74.20 | 1.35% |
| 3-1 | 28.84 | 3.47% |
| 3-2 | 22.42 | 4.46% |
| 3-3 | 26.15 | 3.82% |
| Any Other Home Win | 9.24 | 10.82% |
| Any Other Away Win | 5.06 | 19.76% |
| Any Other Draw | 67.38 | 1.48% |