Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Wolfsburg is likely to win this match with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Heidenheim has a probability of 35.68%, while a draw has a probability of 25.94%. The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win is 0-1, with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 8.42% and 0-2 with a probability of 6.43%. The most probable Heidenheim win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.32%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| FC Heidenheim | Wolfsburg | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.31 | 1.37 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 35.68% | 25.94% | 38.32% |
| Imp Odds | 2.80 | 3.86 | 2.61 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 6.88% | 14.53 |
| 1.5 | 25.30% | 3.95 |
| 2.5 | 49.95% | 2.00 |
| 3.5 | 71.94% | 1.39 |
| 4.5 | 86.64% | 1.15 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 93.12% | 1.07 |
| 1.5 | 74.70% | 1.34 |
| 2.5 | 50.05% | 2.00 |
| 3.5 | 28.06% | 3.56 |
| 4.5 | 13.36% | 7.49 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 14.53 | 6.88% |
| 0-1 | 10.63 | 9.41% |
| 0-2 | 15.54 | 6.43% |
| 0-3 | 34.10 | 2.93% |
| 1-0 | 11.10 | 9.01% |
| 1-1 | 8.12 | 12.32% |
| 1-2 | 11.88 | 8.42% |
| 1-3 | 26.06 | 3.84% |
| 2-0 | 16.96 | 5.90% |
| 2-1 | 12.41 | 8.06% |
| 2-2 | 18.15 | 5.51% |
| 2-3 | 39.82 | 2.51% |
| 3-0 | 38.88 | 2.57% |
| 3-1 | 28.44 | 3.52% |
| 3-2 | 41.60 | 2.40% |
| 3-3 | 91.27 | 1.10% |
| Any Other Home Win | 23.70 | 4.22% |
| Any Other Away Win | 28.73 | 3.48% |
| Any Other Draw | 758.91 | 0.13% |