Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Leipzig is likely to win this match with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen has a probability of 33.08%, while a draw has a probability of 22.37%. The most likely scoreline for a Leipzig win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 8.78% and 1-0 with a probability of 6.05%. The most probable Bayer Leverkusen win is 1-2 with a probability of 7.48%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.51%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Leipzig | Bayer Leverkusen | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.85 | 1.57 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 44.47% | 22.37% | 33.08% |
| Imp Odds | 2.25 | 4.47 | 3.02 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.28% | 30.51 |
| 1.5 | 14.48% | 6.91 |
| 2.5 | 33.63% | 2.97 |
| 3.5 | 55.44% | 1.80 |
| 4.5 | 74.08% | 1.35 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.72% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 85.52% | 1.17 |
| 2.5 | 66.37% | 1.51 |
| 3.5 | 44.56% | 2.24 |
| 4.5 | 25.92% | 3.86 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 30.51 | 3.28% |
| 0-1 | 19.41 | 5.15% |
| 0-2 | 24.69 | 4.05% |
| 0-3 | 47.13 | 2.12% |
| 1-0 | 16.53 | 6.05% |
| 1-1 | 10.51 | 9.51% |
| 1-2 | 13.38 | 7.48% |
| 1-3 | 25.53 | 3.92% |
| 2-0 | 17.90 | 5.59% |
| 2-1 | 11.39 | 8.78% |
| 2-2 | 14.49 | 6.90% |
| 2-3 | 27.66 | 3.62% |
| 3-0 | 29.10 | 3.44% |
| 3-1 | 18.51 | 5.40% |
| 3-2 | 23.55 | 4.25% |
| 3-3 | 44.94 | 2.23% |
| Any Other Home Win | 9.12 | 10.97% |
| Any Other Away Win | 17.77 | 5.63% |
| Any Other Draw | 220.07 | 0.45% |