Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Werder Bremen is likely to win this match with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Freiburg has a probability of 33.44%, while a draw has a probability of 26.77%. The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win is 1-0, with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 8.46% and 2-0 with a probability of 7.07%. The most probable Freiburg win is 0-1 with a probability of 7.61%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.72%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Werder Bremen | Freiburg | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.33 | 1.20 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 39.76% | 26.77% | 33.44% |
| Imp Odds | 2.52 | 3.74 | 2.99 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 8.00% | 12.50 |
| 1.5 | 28.21% | 3.55 |
| 2.5 | 53.72% | 1.86 |
| 3.5 | 75.21% | 1.33 |
| 4.5 | 88.77% | 1.13 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 92.00% | 1.09 |
| 1.5 | 71.79% | 1.39 |
| 2.5 | 46.28% | 2.16 |
| 3.5 | 24.79% | 4.03 |
| 4.5 | 11.23% | 8.91 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 12.50 | 8.00% |
| 0-1 | 10.45 | 9.57% |
| 0-2 | 17.46 | 5.73% |
| 0-3 | 43.78 | 2.28% |
| 1-0 | 9.40 | 10.63% |
| 1-1 | 7.86 | 12.72% |
| 1-2 | 13.14 | 7.61% |
| 1-3 | 32.94 | 3.04% |
| 2-0 | 14.15 | 7.07% |
| 2-1 | 11.83 | 8.46% |
| 2-2 | 19.77 | 5.06% |
| 2-3 | 49.56 | 2.02% |
| 3-0 | 31.94 | 3.13% |
| 3-1 | 26.69 | 3.75% |
| 3-2 | 44.62 | 2.24% |
| 3-3 | 111.87 | 0.89% |
| Any Other Home Win | 22.31 | 4.48% |
| Any Other Away Win | 42.84 | 2.33% |
| Any Other Draw | 1,055.25 | 0.09% |