Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Bayern Munich is likely to win this match with a probability of 77.98%. A win for Mainz has a probability of 4.42%, while a draw has a probability of 16.68%. The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 0-2, with a probability of 20.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 with a probability of 19.98% and 0-3 with a probability of 13.59%. The most probable Mainz win is 1-0 with a probability of 2.9%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 9.9%.
By XG
By XG
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Mainz 05 | Bayern Munich | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.29 | 2.02 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 4.42% | 16.68% | 77.98% |
| Imp Odds | 22.64 | 5.99 | 1.28 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 9.90% | 10.11 |
| 1.5 | 32.78% | 3.05 |
| 2.5 | 59.26% | 1.69 |
| 3.5 | 79.67% | 1.26 |
| 4.5 | 91.47% | 1.09 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 90.10% | 1.11 |
| 1.5 | 67.22% | 1.49 |
| 2.5 | 40.74% | 2.45 |
| 3.5 | 20.33% | 4.92 |
| 4.5 | 8.53% | 11.72 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 10.11 | 9.90% |
| 0-1 | 5.00 | 19.99% |
| 0-2 | 4.95 | 20.19% |
| 0-3 | 7.36 | 13.59% |
| 1-0 | 34.47 | 2.90% |
| 1-1 | 17.06 | 5.86% |
| 1-2 | 16.90 | 5.92% |
| 1-3 | 25.09 | 3.99% |
| 2-0 | 235.11 | 0.43% |
| 2-1 | 116.40 | 0.86% |
| 2-2 | 115.25 | 0.87% |
| 2-3 | 171.17 | 0.58% |
| 3-0 | 2,405.64 | 0.04% |
| 3-1 | 1,190.95 | 0.08% |
| 3-2 | 1,179.20 | 0.08% |
| 3-3 | 1,751.35 | 0.06% |
| Any Other Home Win | 4,774.57 | 0.02% |
| Any Other Away Win | 26.93 | 3.71% |
| Any Other Draw | 46,201.27 | 0.00% |