Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Union Berlin is likely to win this match with a probability of 63.18%. A win for Darmstadt has a probability of 16.7%, while a draw has a probability of 20.08%. The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 10.4% and 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The most probable Darmstadt win is 1-2 with a probability of 4.64%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.38%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Union Berlin | Darmstadt | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.12 | 0.99 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 63.18% | 20.08% | 16.70% |
| Imp Odds | 1.58 | 4.98 | 5.99 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.49% | 22.29 |
| 1.5 | 18.42% | 5.43 |
| 2.5 | 40.03% | 2.50 |
| 3.5 | 62.40% | 1.60 |
| 4.5 | 79.75% | 1.25 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.51% | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | 81.58% | 1.23 |
| 2.5 | 59.97% | 1.67 |
| 3.5 | 37.60% | 2.66 |
| 4.5 | 20.25% | 4.94 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 22.29 | 4.49% |
| 0-1 | 22.54 | 4.44% |
| 0-2 | 45.59 | 2.19% |
| 0-3 | 138.32 | 0.72% |
| 1-0 | 10.54 | 9.49% |
| 1-1 | 10.66 | 9.38% |
| 1-2 | 21.55 | 4.64% |
| 1-3 | 65.39 | 1.53% |
| 2-0 | 9.96 | 10.04% |
| 2-1 | 10.08 | 9.93% |
| 2-2 | 20.38 | 4.91% |
| 2-3 | 61.83 | 1.62% |
| 3-0 | 14.13 | 7.08% |
| 3-1 | 14.29 | 7.00% |
| 3-2 | 28.91 | 3.46% |
| 3-3 | 87.70 | 1.14% |
| Any Other Home Win | 6.18 | 16.19% |
| Any Other Away Win | 74.25 | 1.35% |
| Any Other Draw | 616.28 | 0.16% |