Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Wolfsburg is likely to win this match with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Freiburg has a probability of 30.59%, while a draw has a probability of 23.8%. The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win is 2-1, with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 8.76% and 1-0 with a probability of 8.17%. The most probable Freiburg win is 1-2 with a probability of 7.35%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.96%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Wolfsburg | Freiburg | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.68 | 1.34 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 45.56% | 23.80% | 30.59% |
| Imp Odds | 2.19 | 4.20 | 3.27 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.85% | 20.63 |
| 1.5 | 19.52% | 5.12 |
| 2.5 | 41.72% | 2.40 |
| 3.5 | 64.12% | 1.56 |
| 4.5 | 81.08% | 1.23 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.15% | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | 80.48% | 1.24 |
| 2.5 | 58.28% | 1.72 |
| 3.5 | 35.88% | 2.79 |
| 4.5 | 18.92% | 5.28 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 20.63 | 4.85% |
| 0-1 | 15.37 | 6.51% |
| 0-2 | 22.91 | 4.37% |
| 0-3 | 51.20 | 1.95% |
| 1-0 | 12.25 | 8.17% |
| 1-1 | 9.12 | 10.96% |
| 1-2 | 13.60 | 7.35% |
| 1-3 | 30.39 | 3.29% |
| 2-0 | 14.54 | 6.88% |
| 2-1 | 10.83 | 9.23% |
| 2-2 | 16.14 | 6.19% |
| 2-3 | 36.08 | 2.77% |
| 3-0 | 25.89 | 3.86% |
| 3-1 | 19.29 | 5.18% |
| 3-2 | 28.75 | 3.48% |
| 3-3 | 64.26 | 1.56% |
| Any Other Home Win | 11.41 | 8.76% |
| Any Other Away Win | 28.48 | 3.51% |
| Any Other Draw | 414.76 | 0.24% |