Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Alaves is likely to win this match with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Granada has a probability of 24.59%, while a draw has a probability of 22.65%. The most likely scoreline for a Alaves win is “**Any Other Home Win,**” with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.73% and 1-0 with a probability of 8.67%. The most probable Granada win is 1-2 with a probability of 6.3%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.45%.

Below are tables with match analyses by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.

By Goals

By Goals

## Match Result Market

Home Team | Away Team | ||

Alaves | Granada | ||

Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||

1.86 | 1.20 | ||

Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |

%Chance | 52.72% | 22.65% | 24.59% |

Imp Odds | 1.90 | 4.41 | 4.07 |

## Over and Under Market

Under Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 4.66% | 21.46 |

1.5 | 18.94% | 5.28 |

2.5 | 40.85% | 2.45 |

3.5 | 63.24% | 1.58 |

4.5 | 80.40% | 1.24 |

Over Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 95.34% | 1.05 |

1.5 | 81.06% | 1.23 |

2.5 | 59.15% | 1.69 |

3.5 | 36.76% | 2.72 |

4.5 | 19.60% | 5.10 |

## Correct Score Market

Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |

0-0 | 4.66% | 21.46 |

0-1 | 5.61% | 17.81 |

0-2 | 3.38% | 29.57 |

0-3 | 1.36% | 73.61 |

1-0 | 8.67% | 11.53 |

1-1 | 10.45% | 9.57 |

1-2 | 6.30% | 15.88 |

1-3 | 2.53% | 39.55 |

2-0 | 8.07% | 12.39 |

2-1 | 9.73% | 10.28 |

2-2 | 5.86% | 17.07 |

2-3 | 2.35% | 42.49 |

3-0 | 5.01% | 19.97 |

3-1 | 6.03% | 16.57 |

3-2 | 3.64% | 27.51 |

3-3 | 1.46% | 68.48 |

Any Other Home Win | 11.57% | 8.64 |

Any Other Away Win | 2.55% | 39.25 |

Any Other Draw | 0.22% | 445.88 |