Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Alaves is likely to win this match with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Las Palmas has a probability of 22.9%, while a draw has a probability of 33.04%. The most likely scoreline for a Alaves win is 1-0, with a probability of 18.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 9.9% and 2-1 with a probability of 6.56%. The most probable Las Palmas win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 18.14%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Goals
Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Alaves | Las Palmas | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.04 | 0.66 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 44.06% | 33.04% | 22.90% |
| Imp Odds | 2.27 | 3.03 | 4.37 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 18.14% | 5.51 |
| 1.5 | 49.10% | 2.04 |
| 2.5 | 75.53% | 1.32 |
| 3.5 | 90.57% | 1.10 |
| 4.5 | 96.99% | 1.03 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 81.86% | 1.22 |
| 1.5 | 50.90% | 1.96 |
| 2.5 | 24.47% | 4.09 |
| 3.5 | 9.43% | 10.61 |
| 4.5 | 3.01% | 33.25 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 18.14% | 5.51 |
| 0-1 | 12.02% | 8.32 |
| 0-2 | 3.98% | 25.12 |
| 0-3 | 0.88% | 113.74 |
| 1-0 | 18.95% | 5.28 |
| 1-1 | 12.55% | 7.97 |
| 1-2 | 4.16% | 24.05 |
| 1-3 | 0.92% | 108.87 |
| 2-0 | 9.90% | 10.10 |
| 2-1 | 6.56% | 15.25 |
| 2-2 | 2.17% | 46.03 |
| 2-3 | 0.48% | 208.43 |
| 3-0 | 3.45% | 29.02 |
| 3-1 | 2.28% | 43.79 |
| 3-2 | 0.76% | 132.19 |
| 3-3 | 0.17% | 598.53 |
| Any Other Home Win | 2.18% | 45.95 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.30% | 334.52 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.01% | 13,455.38 |