Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Almeria is likely to win this match with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Alaves has a probability of 35.29%, while a draw has a probability of 23.51%. The most likely scoreline for a Almeria win is 2-1, with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 8.15% and 1-0 with a probability of 6.95%. The most probable Alaves win is 1-2 with a probability of 7.99%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.54%.
This match offers an enticing opportunity for betting on both team to score for 1.85.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Almeria | Alaves | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.65 | 1.52 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 41.13% | 23.51% | 35.29% |
| Imp Odds | 2.43 | 4.25 | 2.83 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.21% | 23.75 |
| 1.5 | 17.55% | 5.70 |
| 2.5 | 38.67% | 2.59 |
| 3.5 | 60.97% | 1.64 |
| 4.5 | 78.63% | 1.27 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.79% | 1.04 |
| 1.5 | 82.45% | 1.21 |
| 2.5 | 61.33% | 1.63 |
| 3.5 | 39.03% | 2.56 |
| 4.5 | 21.37% | 4.68 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 23.75 | 4.21% |
| 0-1 | 15.66 | 6.38% |
| 0-2 | 20.66 | 4.84% |
| 0-3 | 40.86 | 2.45% |
| 1-0 | 14.39 | 6.95% |
| 1-1 | 9.49 | 10.54% |
| 1-2 | 12.51 | 7.99% |
| 1-3 | 24.75 | 4.04% |
| 2-0 | 17.42 | 5.74% |
| 2-1 | 11.49 | 8.70% |
| 2-2 | 15.15 | 6.60% |
| 2-3 | 29.98 | 3.34% |
| 3-0 | 31.66 | 3.16% |
| 3-1 | 20.88 | 4.79% |
| 3-2 | 27.53 | 3.63% |
| 3-3 | 54.46 | 1.84% |
| Any Other Home Win | 12.27 | 8.15% |
| Any Other Away Win | 19.95 | 5.01% |
| Any Other Draw | 314.23 | 0.32% |