Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Girona is likely to win this match with a probability of 64.05%. A win for Almeria has a probability of 19.3%, while a draw has a probability of 15.05%. The most likely scoreline for a Girona win is “Any Other Away Win“, with a probability of 32.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 with a probability of 6.35% and 2-3 with a probability of 5.95%. The most probable Almeria win is “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 7.94%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 2-2 with a probability of 5.4%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Almeria | Girona | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.88 | 3.30 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 19.30% | 15.05% | 64.05% |
| Imp Odds | 5.18 | 6.65 | 1.56 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 0.56% | 177.58 |
| 1.5 | 3.48% | 28.74 |
| 2.5 | 11.03% | 9.06 |
| 3.5 | 24.07% | 4.15 |
| 4.5 | 40.96% | 2.44 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 99.44% | 1.01 |
| 1.5 | 96.52% | 1.04 |
| 2.5 | 88.97% | 1.12 |
| 3.5 | 75.93% | 1.32 |
| 4.5 | 59.04% | 1.69 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 177.58 | 0.56% |
| 0-1 | 53.74 | 1.86% |
| 0-2 | 32.53 | 3.07% |
| 0-3 | 29.53 | 3.39% |
| 1-0 | 94.70 | 1.06% |
| 1-1 | 28.66 | 3.49% |
| 1-2 | 17.35 | 5.76% |
| 1-3 | 15.75 | 6.35% |
| 2-0 | 101.01 | 0.99% |
| 2-1 | 30.57 | 3.27% |
| 2-2 | 18.50 | 5.40% |
| 2-3 | 16.80 | 5.95% |
| 3-0 | 161.61 | 0.62% |
| 3-1 | 48.91 | 2.04% |
| 3-2 | 29.60 | 3.38% |
| 3-3 | 26.88 | 3.72% |
| Any Other Home Win | 12.59 | 7.94% |
| Any Other Away Win | 3.10 | 32.21% |
| Any Other Draw | 53.53 | 1.87% |