Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Atletico Madrid is likely to win this match with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 28.61%, while a draw has a probability of 21.02%. The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is “Any Other Away Win“, with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 8.88% and 1-3 with a probability of 6.21%. The most probable Athletic Bilbao win is 2-1 with a probability of 6.57%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 8.46%.
This match offers an excellent opportunity to bet on Atletico Madrid’s win, with bookmakers offering average odds of 3, much higher than the 2 calculated by our model.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result
Goals Over/Under