Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Sevilla is likely to win this match with a probability of 59.82%. A win for Getafe has a probability of 19.87%, while a draw has a probability of 20.35%. The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 16.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.8% and 2-0 with a probability of 8.48%. The most probable Getafe win is 1-2 with a probability of 5.29%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.16%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By XG
By Goals
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Sevilla | Getafe | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
2.14 | 1.16 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 59.82% | 20.35% | 19.78% |
Imp Odds | 1.67 | 4.91 | 5.06 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 3.71% | 26.98 |
1.5 | 15.92% | 6.28 |
2.5 | 36.04% | 2.77 |
3.5 | 58.14% | 1.72 |
4.5 | 76.35% | 1.31 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 96.29% | 1.04 |
1.5 | 84.08% | 1.19 |
2.5 | 63.96% | 1.56 |
3.5 | 41.86% | 2.39 |
4.5 | 23.65% | 4.23 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 3.71% | 26.98 |
0-1 | 4.28% | 23.35 |
0-2 | 2.47% | 40.42 |
0-3 | 0.95% | 104.95 |
1-0 | 7.93% | 12.61 |
1-1 | 9.16% | 10.91 |
1-2 | 5.29% | 18.89 |
1-3 | 2.04% | 49.05 |
2-0 | 8.48% | 11.79 |
2-1 | 9.80% | 10.20 |
2-2 | 5.66% | 17.66 |
2-3 | 2.18% | 45.85 |
3-0 | 6.05% | 16.53 |
3-1 | 6.99% | 14.30 |
3-2 | 4.04% | 24.76 |
3-3 | 1.56% | 64.28 |
Any Other Home Win | 16.52% | 6.05 |
Any Other Away Win | 2.22% | 45.12 |
Any Other Draw | 0.27% | 376.08 |
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Sevilla | Getafe | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.79 | 1.25 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 50.05% | 23.19% | 26.73% |
Imp Odds | 2.00 | 4.31 | 3.74 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 4.78% | 20.91 |
1.5 | 19.32% | 5.18 |
2.5 | 41.42% | 2.41 |
3.5 | 63.82% | 1.57 |
4.5 | 80.84% | 1.24 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 95.22% | 1.05 |
1.5 | 80.68% | 1.24 |
2.5 | 58.58% | 1.71 |
3.5 | 36.18% | 2.76 |
4.5 | 19.16% | 5.22 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 20.91 | 4.78% |
0-1 | 16.72 | 5.98% |
0-2 | 26.74 | 3.74% |
0-3 | 64.14 | 1.56% |
1-0 | 11.69 | 8.56% |
1-1 | 9.34 | 10.70% |
1-2 | 14.94 | 6.69% |
1-3 | 35.84 | 2.79% |
2-0 | 13.06 | 7.66% |
2-1 | 10.44 | 9.58% |
2-2 | 16.70 | 5.99% |
2-3 | 40.05 | 2.50% |
3-0 | 21.89 | 4.57% |
3-1 | 17.50 | 5.71% |
3-2 | 27.99 | 3.57% |
3-3 | 67.13 | 1.49% |
Any Other Home Win | 9.62 | 10.40% |
Any Other Away Win | 35.06 | 2.85% |
Any Other Draw | 438.10 | 0.23% |