Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid

Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Atletico Madrid is likely to win this match with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Barcelona has a probability of 36.34%, while a draw has a probability of 25.75%. The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is 0-1, with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 8.38% and 0-2 with a probability of 6.26%. The most probable Barcelona win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.21%.

This match offers an excellent opportunity to bet on Atletico Madrid’s win, with bookmakers offering average odds of 3.8, much higher than the 2.64 calculated by our model.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.