Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Real Sociedad is likely to win this match with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Osasuna has a probability of 30.35%, while a draw has a probability of 24.93%. The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win is 0-1, with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 9.17% and 0-2 with a probability of 7.39%. The most probable Osasuna win is 1-0 with a probability of 7.55%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 11.77%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Osasuna | Real Sociedad | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.24 | 1.56 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 30.35% | 24.93% | 44.60% |
| Imp Odds | 3.30 | 4.01 | 2.24 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 6.09% | 16.42 |
| 1.5 | 23.13% | 4.32 |
| 2.5 | 46.98% | 2.13 |
| 3.5 | 69.22% | 1.44 |
| 4.5 | 84.79% | 1.18 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 93.91% | 1.06 |
| 1.5 | 76.87% | 1.30 |
| 2.5 | 53.02% | 1.89 |
| 3.5 | 30.78% | 3.25 |
| 4.5 | 15.21% | 6.57 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 16.42 | 6.09% |
| 0-1 | 10.54 | 9.49% |
| 0-2 | 13.52 | 7.39% |
| 0-3 | 26.03 | 3.84% |
| 1-0 | 13.24 | 7.55% |
| 1-1 | 8.50 | 11.77% |
| 1-2 | 10.90 | 9.17% |
| 1-3 | 20.99 | 4.76% |
| 2-0 | 21.35 | 4.68% |
| 2-1 | 13.70 | 7.30% |
| 2-2 | 17.58 | 5.69% |
| 2-3 | 33.85 | 2.95% |
| 3-0 | 51.65 | 1.94% |
| 3-1 | 33.15 | 3.02% |
| 3-2 | 42.54 | 2.35% |
| 3-3 | 81.88 | 1.22% |
| Any Other Home Win | 28.48 | 3.51% |
| Any Other Away Win | 20.04 | 4.99% |
| Any Other Draw | 626.72 | 0.16% |