Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Barcelona is likely to win this match with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Girona has a probability of 30.01%, while a draw has a probability of 25.69%. The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 1-0, with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.06% and “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 6.2%. The most probable Girona win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.23%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.21%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Goals
XG
Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Barcelona | Girona | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.48 | 1.18 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 44.27% | 25.69% | 30.01% |
| Imp Odds | 2.26 | 3.89 | 3.33 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 7.01% | 14.28 |
| 1.5 | 25.63% | 3.90 |
| 2.5 | 50.38% | 1.98 |
| 3.5 | 72.32% | 1.38 |
| 4.5 | 86.90% | 1.15 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 92.99% | 1.08 |
| 1.5 | 74.37% | 1.34 |
| 2.5 | 49.62% | 2.02 |
| 3.5 | 27.68% | 3.61 |
| 4.5 | 13.10% | 7.63 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 7.01% | 14.28 |
| 0-1 | 8.23% | 12.15 |
| 0-2 | 4.84% | 20.67 |
| 0-3 | 1.90% | 52.76 |
| 1-0 | 10.39% | 9.62 |
| 1-1 | 12.21% | 8.19 |
| 1-2 | 7.18% | 13.93 |
| 1-3 | 2.81% | 35.57 |
| 2-0 | 7.71% | 12.98 |
| 2-1 | 9.06% | 11.04 |
| 2-2 | 5.32% | 18.79 |
| 2-3 | 2.08% | 47.96 |
| 3-0 | 3.81% | 26.25 |
| 3-1 | 4.48% | 22.33 |
| 3-2 | 2.63% | 38.01 |
| 3-3 | 1.03% | 97.01 |
| Any Other Home Win | 6.20% | 16.14 |
| Any Other Away Win | 2.28% | 43.84 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.12% | 829.64 |
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Barcelona | Girona | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.29 | 1.91 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 47.10% | 19.85% | 32.87% |
| Imp Odds | 2.12 | 5.04 | 3.04 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 1.49% | 66.90 |
| 1.5 | 7.78% | 12.86 |
| 2.5 | 20.98% | 4.77 |
| 3.5 | 39.48% | 2.53 |
| 4.5 | 58.92% | 1.70 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 98.51% | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | 92.22% | 1.08 |
| 2.5 | 79.02% | 1.27 |
| 3.5 | 60.52% | 1.65 |
| 4.5 | 41.08% | 2.43 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 66.90 | 1.49% |
| 0-1 | 34.98 | 2.86% |
| 0-2 | 36.57 | 2.73% |
| 0-3 | 57.37 | 1.74% |
| 1-0 | 29.21 | 3.42% |
| 1-1 | 15.27 | 6.55% |
| 1-2 | 15.97 | 6.26% |
| 1-3 | 25.04 | 3.99% |
| 2-0 | 25.50 | 3.92% |
| 2-1 | 13.33 | 7.50% |
| 2-2 | 13.94 | 7.17% |
| 2-3 | 21.87 | 4.57% |
| 3-0 | 33.40 | 2.99% |
| 3-1 | 17.46 | 5.73% |
| 3-2 | 18.26 | 5.48% |
| 3-3 | 28.64 | 3.49% |
| Any Other Home Win | 5.54 | 18.06% |
| Any Other Away Win | 10.51 | 9.51% |
| Any Other Draw | 87.26 | 1.15% |