Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo

Spanish La Liga PredictionsBy Ruben Harutyunyan

Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Celta Vigo is likely to win this match with a probability of 53.83%. A win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 25.42%, while a draw has a probability of 20.31%. The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win is “Any Other Away Win“, with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 9.02% and 1-3 with a probability of 6.66%. The most probable Rayo Vallecano win is 2-1 with a probability of 6.03%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 8.15%.

This match offers an excellent opportunity to bet on Celta Vigos win, with bookmakers offering average odds of 3.16, much higher than the 1.86 calculated by our model.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.

Full-time Result Based on XG

Home Team Away Team
Rayo Vallecano Celta Vigo
 
Projected Home Goals Projected Away Goals
1.48 2.21
 
  Home Win Draw Away Win
%Chance 25.42% 20.31% 53.83%
Imp Odds 3.93 4.92 1.86

 

Goals Over/Under Based on XG

Under Goal Market
Goals %Chance Imp Odds
0.5 2.49% 40.24
1.5 11.67% 8.57
2.5 28.63% 3.49
3.5 49.52% 2.02
4.5 68.82% 1.45
     
Over Goal Market
Goals %Chance Imp Odds
0.5 97.51% 1.03
1.5 88.33% 1.13
2.5 71.37% 1.40
3.5 50.48% 1.98
4.5 31.18% 3.21

 

Correct Score Based on XG

Correct Score Imp. Odds %Chance
0-0 40.24 2.49%
0-1 18.17 5.50%
0-2 16.41 6.09%
0-3 22.23 4.50%
1-0 27.18 3.68%
1-1 12.27 8.15%
1-2 11.09 9.02%
1-3 15.02 6.66%
2-0 36.72 2.72%
2-1 16.58 6.03%
2-2 14.98 6.68%
2-3 20.29 4.93%
3-0 74.41 1.34%
3-1 33.60 2.98%
3-2 30.35 3.29%
3-3 41.12 2.43%
Any Other Home Win 18.61 5.37%
Any Other Away Win 7.49 13.35%
Any Other Draw 175.43 0.57%